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Model Records — 2026
Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET
Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI
Model Overall ROI Dogs Dog ROI Favs Fav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline) 263-227 -4.8% 48-42 +14.2% 215-185 -7.7%
LOGISTIC blended 267-224 -2.4% 48-52 +3.5% 219-172 -3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D 255-239 -5.8% 54-72 -7.3% 201-167 -5.5%
LightGBM 236-254 -12.2% 50-71 -9.5% 186-183 -12.8%
CatBoost 169-174 -11.5% 29-41 -10.8% 140-133 -11.6%
XGBoost 168-188 -12.8% 41-62 -12.6% 127-126 -12.8%
Games — 2026-07-03
TOR@SEA
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
MIA@OAK
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
NYM@ATL
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
SD@LAD
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
SF@COL
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
PIT@WSH
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
STL@CHC
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
BOS@LAA
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
MIN@NYY
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
CWS@CLE
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
TB@HOU
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
BAL@CIN
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
MIL@ARI
2026-07-03 · time TBD · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u . Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.