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Model Records — 2026
Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET
Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI
Model Overall ROI Dogs Dog ROI Favs Fav ROI LOGISTIC (baseline) 263-227 -4.8% 48-42 +14.2% 215-185 -7.7% LOGISTIC blended 267-224 -2.4% 48-52 +3.5% 219-172 -3.5% LOGISTIC L30D 255-239 -5.8% 54-72 -7.3% 201-167 -5.5% LightGBM 236-254 -12.2% 50-71 -9.5% 186-183 -12.8% CatBoost 169-174 -11.5% 29-41 -10.8% 140-133 -11.6% XGBoost 168-188 -12.8% 41-62 -12.6% 127-126 -12.8%
Games — 2026-07-01
CWS@BAL
2026-07-01 · Wed 12:36 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
TEX@CLE
2026-07-01 · Wed 01:11 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
WSH@BOS
2026-07-01 · Wed 01:36 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
DET@NYY
2026-07-01 · Wed 01:36 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
SD@CHC
2026-07-01 · Wed 02:21 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units no model predictions
NYM@TOR
2026-07-01 · Wed 03:08 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units CatBoost TOR -104 52% · — LOGISTIC (baseline) NYM -115 51% · — LightGBM TOR -104 51% · — XGBoost TOR -104 53% · —
PIT@PHI
2026-07-01 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units CatBoost PHI -137 52% · — LOGISTIC (baseline) PIT +116 51% · — LOGISTIC L30D PIT +116 55% · — LOGISTIC blended PHI -137 53% · — LightGBM PHI -137 51% · — XGBoost PHI -137 53% · —
STL@ATL
2026-07-01 · Wed 07:16 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units CatBoost STL +113 52% · — LOGISTIC (baseline) STL +113 56% · — LOGISTIC L30D STL +113 51% · — LOGISTIC blended STL +113 53% · — LightGBM STL +113 53% · — XGBoost ATL -129 52% · —
TB@KC
2026-07-01 · Wed 07:41 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units LOGISTIC L30D KC +118 51% · — LOGISTIC blended KC +118 52% · —
MIN@HOU
2026-07-01 · Wed 08:11 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units LOGISTIC L30D HOU -123 50% · — LOGISTIC blended MIN +106 54% · —
CIN@MIL
2026-07-01 · Wed 08:11 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units LOGISTIC L30D MIL -160 53% · — LOGISTIC blended MIL -160 56% · —
MIA@COL
2026-07-01 · Wed 08:41 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units CatBoost MIA -157 52% · — LOGISTIC (baseline) MIA -157 54% · — LOGISTIC L30D MIA -157 54% · — LOGISTIC blended MIA -157 53% · — LightGBM MIA -157 52% · — XGBoost COL +136 53% · —
SF@ARI
2026-07-01 · Wed 09:41 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units CatBoost SF +100 50% · — LOGISTIC (baseline) ARI -118 50% · — LOGISTIC L30D ARI -118 52% · — LOGISTIC blended ARI -118 52% · — LightGBM SF +100 51% · — XGBoost ARI -118 52% · —
LAD@OAK
2026-07-01 · Wed 09:41 PM ET · pregame
Model Pick Win% W/L Units CatBoost LAD -187 51% · — LOGISTIC (baseline) LAD -187 55% · — LOGISTIC blended OAK +158 53% · — LightGBM OAK +158 52% · — XGBoost OAK +158 53% · —
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u . Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.