Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-24

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
TEX@MIA
2026-06-24 · Wed 12:11 PM ET · TEX 2 — MIA 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CHC@NYM
2026-06-24 · Wed 01:11 PM ET · CHC 10 — NYM 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CLE@CWS
2026-06-24 · Wed 02:11 PM ET · CLE 4 — CWS 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
BOS@COL
2026-06-24 · Wed 03:11 PM ET · BOS 6 — COL 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DBOS -16955%✗-1.69u
LOGISTIC blendedBOS -16951%✗-1.69u
BAL@LAA
2026-06-24 · Wed 04:08 PM ET · BAL 6 — LAA 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DLAA -12258%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAA -12256%✓+1.00u
KC@TB
2026-06-24 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · KC 3 — TB 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTB -14554%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)TB -14559%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DKC +12551%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedTB -14556%✓+1.00u
LightGBMTB -14554%✓+1.00u
XGBoostTB -14553%✓+1.00u
SEA@PIT
2026-06-24 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · SEA 1 — PIT 11 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostPIT -11454%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SEA -10250%✗-1.02u
LOGISTIC L30DPIT -11454%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedPIT -11454%✓+1.00u
LightGBMPIT -11452%✓+1.00u
XGBoostPIT -11453%✓+1.00u
NYY@DET
2026-06-24 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · NYY 4 — DET 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostDET -14254%✗-1.42u
LOGISTIC (baseline)DET -14262%✗-1.42u
LOGISTIC L30DDET -14252%✗-1.42u
LOGISTIC blendedDET -14262%✗-1.42u
LightGBMDET -14253%✗-1.42u
XGBoostDET -14253%✗-1.42u
PHI@WSH
2026-06-24 · Wed 06:46 PM ET · PHI 5 — WSH 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostWSH +11251%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)PHI -13154%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DWSH +11252%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedPHI -13153%✓+1.00u
LightGBMWSH +11251%✗-1.00u
XGBoostWSH +11253%✗-1.00u
HOU@TOR
2026-06-24 · Wed 07:08 PM ET · HOU 3 — TOR 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTOR -15454%✗-1.54u
LOGISTIC (baseline)TOR -15454%✗-1.54u
LOGISTIC L30DHOU +13451%✓+1.34u
LOGISTIC blendedTOR -15451%✗-1.54u
LightGBMTOR -15453%✗-1.54u
XGBoostTOR -15453%✗-1.54u
CHC@NYM
2026-06-24 · Wed 07:11 PM ET · CHC 10 — NYM 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostNYM -10654%✗-1.06u
LOGISTIC (baseline)NYM -10662%✗-1.06u
LOGISTIC L30DNYM -10655%✗-1.06u
LOGISTIC blendedNYM -10661%✗-1.06u
LightGBMNYM -10652%✗-1.06u
XGBoostNYM -10653%✗-1.06u
MIL@CIN
2026-06-24 · Wed 07:11 PM ET · MIL 6 — CIN 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DCIN +12050%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedMIL -14151%✓+1.00u
LAD@MIN
2026-06-24 · Wed 07:41 PM ET · LAD 4 — MIN 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIN +15351%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)MIN +15353%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DMIN +15356%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAD -18051%✓+1.00u
LightGBMMIN +15352%✗-1.00u
XGBoostMIN +15353%✗-1.00u
ARI@STL
2026-06-24 · Wed 07:46 PM ET · ARI 9 — STL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DSTL -11865%✗-1.18u
LOGISTIC blendedSTL -11862%✗-1.18u
ATL@SD
2026-06-24 · Wed 08:41 PM ET · ATL 2 — SD 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSD +10952%✓+1.09u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SD +10955%✓+1.09u
LOGISTIC L30DSD +10950%✓+1.09u
LOGISTIC blendedSD +10957%✓+1.09u
LightGBMSD +10953%✓+1.09u
XGBoostSD +10953%✓+1.09u
OAK@SF
2026-06-24 · Wed 09:46 PM ET · OAK 1 — SF 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DSF +11059%✓+1.10u
LOGISTIC blendedSF +11054%✓+1.10u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.