Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-12

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
MIA@PIT
2026-06-12 · Fri 06:41 PM ET · MIA 8 — PIT 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DPIT -14260%✗-1.42u
LOGISTIC blendedPIT -14260%✗-1.42u
SEA@WSH
2026-06-12 · Fri 06:46 PM ET · SEA 10 — WSH 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DSEA -14352%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedWSH +12552%✗-1.00u
SD@BAL
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:06 PM ET · SD 3 — BAL 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DBAL -14056%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedBAL -14060%✓+1.00u
DET@CLE
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:11 PM ET · DET 2 — CLE 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DCLE -10954%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedDET -10850%✗-1.08u
TEX@BOS
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:11 PM ET · TEX 1 — BOS 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DBOS -13256%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedBOS -13256%✓+1.00u
ATL@NYM
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:15 PM ET · ATL 5 — NYM 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DNYM -10951%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedNYM -10958%✓+1.00u
ARI@CIN
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:16 PM ET · ARI 5 — CIN 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DCIN -10655%✗-1.06u
LOGISTIC blendedCIN -10661%✗-1.06u
NYY@TOR
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:37 PM ET · NYY 5 — TOR 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTOR -10951%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)TOR -10956%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DTOR -10952%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedNYY -10755%✗-1.07u
LightGBMNYY -10752%✗-1.07u
XGBoostTOR -10952%✓+1.00u
PHI@MIL
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:41 PM ET · PHI 0 — MIL 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIL -24753%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)MIL -24758%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DMIL -24758%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedMIL -24763%✓+1.00u
LightGBMMIL -24758%✓+1.00u
XGBoostMIL -24753%✓+1.00u
LAD@CWS
2026-06-12 · Fri 07:41 PM ET · LAD 2 — CWS 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DLAD -13551%✗-1.35u
LOGISTIC blendedCWS +11957%✓+1.19u
STL@MIN
2026-06-12 · Fri 08:11 PM ET · STL 8 — MIN 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIN -13551%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)MIN -13557%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DMIN -13559%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedMIN -13557%✓+1.00u
LightGBMMIN -13555%✓+1.00u
XGBoostMIN -13552%✓+1.00u
HOU@KC
2026-06-12 · Fri 08:11 PM ET · HOU 10 — KC 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DHOU -11952%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedKC +10054%✗-1.00u
TB@LAA
2026-06-12 · Fri 09:39 PM ET · TB 3 — LAA 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DTB -17753%✗-1.77u
LOGISTIC blendedLAA +15152%✓+1.51u
COL@OAK
2026-06-12 · Fri 10:06 PM ET · COL 4 — OAK 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DOAK -17962%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedOAK -17953%✓+1.00u
CHC@SF
2026-06-12 · Fri 10:16 PM ET · CHC 5 — SF 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSF -11052%✗-1.10u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SF -11059%✗-1.10u
LOGISTIC L30DSF -11059%✗-1.10u
LOGISTIC blendedSF -11066%✗-1.10u
LightGBMSF -11058%✗-1.10u
XGBoostSF -11052%✗-1.10u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.