Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-20

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
CWS@DET
2026-06-20 · Sat 01:11 PM ET · CWS 1 — DET 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CIN@NYY
2026-06-20 · Sat 01:36 PM ET · CIN 10 — NYY 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TOR@CHC
2026-06-20 · Sat 02:21 PM ET · TOR 8 — CHC 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SD@TEX
2026-06-20 · Sat 04:06 PM ET · SD 6 — TEX 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTEX -13856%✗-1.38u
LOGISTIC (baseline)TEX -13861%✗-1.38u
LOGISTIC L30DTEX -13854%✗-1.38u
LOGISTIC blendedTEX -13865%✗-1.38u
LightGBMTEX -13856%✗-1.38u
XGBoostTEX -13854%✗-1.38u
WSH@TB
2026-06-20 · Sat 04:11 PM ET · WSH 4 — TB 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTB -12055%✗-1.20u
LOGISTIC (baseline)TB -12060%✗-1.20u
LOGISTIC L30DTB -12057%✗-1.20u
LOGISTIC blendedTB -12051%✗-1.20u
LightGBMTB -12052%✗-1.20u
XGBoostTB -12053%✗-1.20u
SF@MIA
2026-06-20 · Sat 04:11 PM ET · SF 3 — MIA 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIA -13855%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)MIA -13854%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DMIA -13851%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedMIA -13852%✓+1.00u
LightGBMMIA -13851%✓+1.00u
XGBoostMIA -13853%✓+1.00u
MIL@ATL
2026-06-20 · Sat 04:11 PM ET · MIL 3 — ATL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostATL -13054%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)ATL -13060%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DATL -13053%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedATL -13057%✓+1.00u
LightGBMATL -13053%✓+1.00u
XGBoostATL -13053%✓+1.00u
NYM@PHI
2026-06-20 · Sat 07:16 PM ET · NYM 3 — PHI 15 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostPHI -17951%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)PHI -17952%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DPHI -17950%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedPHI -17954%✓+1.00u
LightGBMNYM +15151%✗-1.00u
XGBoostPHI -17953%✓+1.00u
CLE@HOU
2026-06-20 · Sat 07:16 PM ET · CLE 8 — HOU 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostHOU -14054%✗-1.40u
LOGISTIC (baseline)CLE +12052%✓+1.20u
LOGISTIC L30DHOU -14055%✗-1.40u
LOGISTIC blendedHOU -14059%✗-1.40u
LightGBMHOU -14051%✗-1.40u
XGBoostHOU -14053%✗-1.40u
PIT@COL
2026-06-20 · Sat 09:11 PM ET · PIT 1 — COL 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostPIT -20452%✗-2.04u
LOGISTIC (baseline)PIT -20459%✗-2.04u
LOGISTIC L30DPIT -20458%✗-2.04u
LOGISTIC blendedPIT -20459%✗-2.04u
LightGBMPIT -20456%✗-2.04u
XGBoostCOL +17253%✓+1.71u
LAA@OAK
2026-06-20 · Sat 10:06 PM ET · LAA 7 — OAK 0 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC blendedOAK -16855%✗-1.68u
BOS@SEA
2026-06-20 · Sat 10:11 PM ET · BOS 5 — SEA 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSEA -12453%✗-1.24u
LOGISTIC (baseline)BOS +10654%✓+1.06u
LOGISTIC L30DSEA -12457%✗-1.24u
LOGISTIC blendedSEA -12459%✗-1.24u
LightGBMSEA -12452%✗-1.24u
XGBoostSEA -12453%✗-1.24u
BAL@LAD
2026-06-20 · Sat 10:11 PM ET · BAL 3 — LAD 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostLAD -24454%✗-2.44u
LOGISTIC (baseline)LAD -24456%✗-2.44u
LOGISTIC L30DLAD -24452%✗-2.44u
LOGISTIC blendedLAD -24455%✗-2.44u
LightGBMLAD -24452%✗-2.44u
XGBoostLAD -24453%✗-2.44u
MIN@ARI
2026-06-20 · Sat 10:11 PM ET · MIN 16 — ARI 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostARI -12952%✗-1.29u
LOGISTIC (baseline)ARI -12954%✗-1.29u
LOGISTIC L30DARI -12951%✗-1.29u
LOGISTIC blendedARI -12950%✗-1.29u
LightGBMMIN +11152%✓+1.11u
XGBoostARI -12953%✗-1.29u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.