Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-29

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
CWS@BAL
2026-06-29 · Mon 06:36 PM ET · CWS 8 — BAL 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostCWS +11352%✓+1.13u
LOGISTIC (baseline)BAL -13151%✗-1.31u
LightGBMCWS +11350%✓+1.13u
XGBoostBAL -13153%✗-1.31u
PIT@PHI
2026-06-29 · Mon 06:41 PM ET · PIT 11 — PHI 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
DET@NYY
2026-06-29 · Mon 07:06 PM ET · DET 7 — NYY 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
NYM@TOR
2026-06-29 · Mon 07:08 PM ET · NYM 1 — TOR 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTOR -12152%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)NYM +10551%✗-1.00u
LightGBMNYM +10551%✗-1.00u
XGBoostTOR -12153%✓+1.00u
TEX@CLE
2026-06-29 · Mon 07:11 PM ET · TEX 6 — CLE 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
WSH@BOS
2026-06-29 · Mon 07:11 PM ET · WSH 3 — BOS 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostBOS -18956%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)BOS -18953%✓+1.00u
LightGBMBOS -18953%✓+1.00u
XGBoostBOS -18953%✓+1.00u
CIN@MIL
2026-06-29 · Mon 07:41 PM ET · CIN 3 — MIL 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SD@CHC
2026-06-29 · Mon 08:06 PM ET · SD 2 — CHC 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIN@HOU
2026-06-29 · Mon 08:11 PM ET · MIN 5 — HOU 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIA@COL
2026-06-29 · Mon 08:41 PM ET · MIA 10 — COL 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
LAA@SEA
2026-06-29 · Mon 09:41 PM ET · LAA 2 — SEA 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
LAD@OAK
2026-06-29 · Mon 09:41 PM ET · LAD 9 — OAK 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SF@ARI
2026-06-29 · Mon 09:41 PM ET · SF 4 — ARI 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.