Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-28

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
CIN@PIT
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · CIN 4 — PIT 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
WSH@BAL
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · WSH 6 — BAL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TEX@TOR
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:38 PM ET · TEX 3 — TOR 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ARI@TB
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · ARI 1 — TB 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PHI@NYM
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · PHI 5 — NYM 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
HOU@DET
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · HOU 7 — DET 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SEA@CLE
2026-06-28 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · SEA 5 — CLE 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
COL@MIN
2026-06-28 · Sun 02:10 PM ET · COL 2 — MIN 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CHC@MIL
2026-06-28 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · CHC 4 — MIL 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
KC@CWS
2026-06-28 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · KC 5 — CWS 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIA@STL
2026-06-28 · Sun 02:16 PM ET · MIA 1 — STL 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
OAK@LAA
2026-06-28 · Sun 03:16 PM ET · OAK 1 — LAA 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostLAA +10052%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)OAK -11954%✗-1.19u
LOGISTIC L30DLAA +10054%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAA +10055%✓+1.00u
LightGBMOAK -11953%✗-1.19u
XGBoostLAA +10052%✓+1.00u
ATL@SF
2026-06-28 · Sun 04:06 PM ET · ATL 2 — SF 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSF +13153%✓+1.31u
LOGISTIC (baseline)ATL -15252%✗-1.52u
LOGISTIC L30DSF +13155%✓+1.31u
LOGISTIC blendedSF +13153%✓+1.31u
LightGBMATL -15250%✗-1.52u
XGBoostSF +13153%✓+1.31u
LAD@SD
2026-06-28 · Sun 04:11 PM ET · LAD 4 — SD 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostLAD -14453%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)LAD -14452%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DSD +12154%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAD -14451%✓+1.00u
LightGBMLAD -14454%✓+1.00u
XGBoostSD +12153%✗-1.00u
NYY@BOS
2026-06-28 · Sun 07:21 PM ET · NYY 4 — BOS 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostBOS -12152%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)NYY +10252%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DBOS -12150%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedBOS -12155%✓+1.00u
LightGBMBOS -12150%✓+1.00u
XGBoostBOS -12152%✓+1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.