Model Scoreboard

every production model · lifetime record · 2026-07-02 01:31 AM ET · updates daily
LIFETIME = genuinely-live picks only (made BEFORE first pitch, never backfilled hindsight). Each moneyline model bets its own edge vs the OPENING line (side with 7%+ EV, flat 1u). Totals are NOT bet here — the totals market is efficient (no out-of-sample edge), so totals show accuracy only (see the Models page), not a bet record. Research record, not betting advice.

Moneyline models

ModelMktBetsRecordUnitsROIBacktest (WF)
ml_logit_blendedML20894-114+1.5u+0.7%run pending
ml_logit_baselineML20088-112+0.8u+0.4%run pending
ml_lr3ML00-0+0.0u+0.0%run pending
ml_xgbML15962-97-17.3u-10.9%run pending
ml_catboostML14557-88-17.8u-12.3%run pending
ml_logit_all_l30dML21387-126-18.3u-8.6%run pending
ml_lgbmML249103-146-21.0u-8.4%1985-2481 · -215u · -4.8%

Every bet, graded — last 30 days

2026-06-30 · 12-20 · -4.57u (-14% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLLAD@OAKOAK +1259-3lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLPIT@PHIPIT +1710-8lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLSTL@ATLSTL +1365-3WON+1.35u
ml_lgbmMLDET@NYYDET +1249-3WON+1.24u
ml_lgbmMLLAA@SEALAA +1383-8lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@OAKOAK +1259-3lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIA@COLCOL +12714-3lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLPIT@PHIPIT +1710-8lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLSTL@ATLSTL +1365-3WON+1.35u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCWS@BALCWS +1249-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLDET@NYYDET +1249-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIA@COLCOL +12714-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPIT@PHIPIT +1710-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSD@CHCSD +1337-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSF@ARISF -1072-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSTL@ATLSTL +1365-3WON+1.35u
ml_logit_baselineMLDET@NYYDET +1249-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAA@SEALAA +1383-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLPIT@PHIPIT +1710-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLSD@CHCSD +1337-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLSTL@ATLSTL +1365-3WON+1.35u
ml_logit_blendedMLDET@NYYDET +1249-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_blendedMLNYM@TORNYM +1103-0WON+1.10u
ml_logit_blendedMLPIT@PHIPIT +1710-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSF@ARISF -1072-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSTL@ATLSTL +1365-3WON+1.35u
ml_xgbMLLAA@SEALAA +1383-8lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLLAD@OAKOAK +1259-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIA@COLCOL +12714-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLPIT@PHIPIT +1710-8lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLSD@CHCSD +1337-9lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLSTL@ATLSTL +1365-3WON+1.35u
2026-06-29 · 2-4 · -1.74u (-29% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCWS@BALCWS +1138-2WON+1.13u
ml_catboostMLWSH@BOSWSH +1593-6lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCWS@BALCWS +1138-2WON+1.13u
ml_lgbmMLWSH@BOSWSH +1593-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLWSH@BOSWSH +1593-6lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLWSH@BOSWSH +1593-6lost-1.00u
2026-06-28 · 8-3 · +6.86u (+62% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLATL@SFSF +1312-3WON+1.31u
ml_lgbmMLATL@SFSF +1312-3WON+1.31u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLATL@SFSF +1312-3WON+1.31u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@SDSD +1214-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLOAK@LAALAA +1001-4WON+1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLATL@SFSF +1312-3WON+1.31u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@SFSF +1312-3WON+1.31u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@SDSD +1214-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLOAK@LAALAA +1001-4WON+1.00u
ml_xgbMLATL@SFSF +1312-3WON+1.31u
ml_xgbMLLAD@SDSD +1214-2lost-1.00u
2026-06-27 · 14-9 · +8.66u (+38% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLLAD@SDSD +16615-3lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLSEA@CLECLE +1263-4WON+1.26u
ml_lgbmMLCHC@MILCHC +1408-2WON+1.40u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@SDSD +16615-3lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIA@STLMIA +1215-1WON+1.21u
ml_lgbmMLSEA@CLECLE +1263-4WON+1.26u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@MILCHC +1408-2WON+1.40u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCIN@PITPIT -1029-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@SDSD +16615-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLWSH@BALBAL -1204-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@MILCHC +1408-2WON+1.40u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@SDSD +16615-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIA@STLMIA +1215-1WON+1.21u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@SFSF -1300-5WON+0.77u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@MILCHC +1408-2WON+1.40u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@MINCOL +1228-5WON+1.22u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@SDSD +16615-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIA@STLMIA +1215-1WON+1.21u
ml_logit_blendedMLPHI@NYMPHI +1182-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSEA@CLECLE +1263-4WON+1.26u
ml_xgbMLCHC@MILCHC +1408-2WON+1.40u
ml_xgbMLLAD@SDSD +16615-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLSEA@CLECLE +1263-4WON+1.26u
2026-06-26 · 7-12 · -0.41u (-2% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLATL@SFSF +1043-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLCIN@PITCIN +1806-4WON+1.80u
ml_lgbmMLARI@TBARI +1161-6lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLATL@SFSF +1043-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCIN@PITCIN +1806-4WON+1.80u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLATL@SFSF +1043-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@MILCHC +2192-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCIN@PITCIN +1806-4WON+1.80u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@SDSD +1301-7WON+1.29u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPHI@NYMNYM +1362-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTEX@TORTOR -1055-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLATL@SFSF +1043-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCIN@PITCIN +1806-4WON+1.80u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@SFSF +1043-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@MILCHC +2192-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@MINCOL +1408-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@SDSD +1301-7WON+1.29u
ml_xgbMLATL@SFSF +1043-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCIN@PITCIN +1806-4WON+1.80u
2026-06-25 · 10-7 · +6.18u (+36% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLNYY@BOSBOS +1353-6WON+1.35u
ml_catboostMLPHI@WSHWSH +15110-5lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLTEX@TORTEX +1286-5WON+1.29u
ml_lgbmMLNYY@BOSBOS +1353-6WON+1.35u
ml_lgbmMLPHI@WSHWSH +15110-5lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLTEX@TORTEX +1286-5WON+1.29u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYY@BOSBOS +1353-6WON+1.35u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPHI@WSHWSH +15110-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@NYMNYM -1144-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLNYY@BOSBOS +1353-6WON+1.35u
ml_logit_baselineMLPHI@WSHWSH +15110-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLTEX@TORTEX +1286-5WON+1.29u
ml_logit_blendedMLPHI@WSHWSH +15110-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLTEX@TORTEX +1286-5WON+1.29u
ml_xgbMLNYY@BOSBOS +1353-6WON+1.35u
ml_xgbMLPHI@WSHWSH +15110-5lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLTEX@TORTEX +1286-5WON+1.29u
2026-06-24 · 15-18 · +0.51u (+2% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLATL@SDSD +1092-5WON+1.09u
ml_catboostMLHOU@TORHOU +1343-1WON+1.34u
ml_catboostMLLAD@MINMIN +1534-3lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLPHI@WSHWSH +1125-4lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLATL@SDSD +1092-5WON+1.09u
ml_lgbmMLHOU@TORHOU +1343-1WON+1.34u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@MINMIN +1534-3lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLPHI@WSHWSH +1125-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLARI@STLSTL -1189-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBOS@COLCOL +1466-8WON+1.46u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@NYMNYM -10610-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLHOU@TORHOU +1343-1WON+1.34u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLKC@TBKC +1253-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@MINMIN +1534-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@CINCIN +1206-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYY@DETNYY +1244-2WON+1.24u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLOAK@SFSF +1101-2WON+1.10u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPHI@WSHWSH +1125-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLATL@SDSD +1092-5WON+1.09u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@NYMNYM -10610-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@MINMIN +1534-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLARI@STLSTL -1189-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@SDSD +1092-5WON+1.09u
ml_logit_blendedMLBOS@COLCOL +1466-8WON+1.46u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@NYMNYM -10610-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLHOU@TORHOU +1343-1WON+1.34u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@MINMIN +1534-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIL@CINCIN +1206-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLOAK@SFSF +1101-2WON+1.10u
ml_xgbMLATL@SDSD +1092-5WON+1.09u
ml_xgbMLHOU@TORHOU +1343-1WON+1.34u
ml_xgbMLLAD@MINMIN +1534-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLPHI@WSHWSH +1125-4lost-1.00u
2026-06-23 · 19-20 · +2.24u (+6% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLARI@STLSTL -1114-3lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLBAL@LAALAA +1351-5WON+1.35u
ml_catboostMLCHC@NYMCHC +1189-6WON+1.18u
ml_catboostMLCLE@CWSCWS -1041-2WON+0.96u
ml_catboostMLLAD@MINMIN +11612-3lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIL@CINCIN +1012-0lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLPHI@WSHWSH +14114-9lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLBAL@LAALAA +1351-5WON+1.35u
ml_lgbmMLCHC@NYMCHC +1189-6WON+1.18u
ml_lgbmMLCLE@CWSCWS -1041-2WON+0.96u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@MINMIN +11612-3lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLPHI@WSHWSH +14114-9lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLTEX@MIATEX +1304-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLARI@STLSTL -1114-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBAL@LAALAA +1351-5WON+1.35u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCLE@CWSCWS -1041-2WON+0.96u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLKC@TBKC +15812-5WON+1.58u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@CINCIN +1012-0lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLOAK@SFSF -1221-3WON+0.82u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPHI@WSHWSH +14114-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSEA@PITPIT +1003-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLBAL@LAALAA +1351-5WON+1.35u
ml_logit_baselineMLCLE@CWSCWS -1041-2WON+0.96u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@MINMIN +11612-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@CINCIN +1012-0lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLPHI@WSHWSH +14114-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLARI@STLSTL -1114-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@SDSD -1046-7WON+0.96u
ml_logit_blendedMLBAL@LAALAA +1351-5WON+1.35u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@NYMCHC +1189-6WON+1.18u
ml_logit_blendedMLCLE@CWSCWS -1041-2WON+0.96u
ml_logit_blendedMLKC@TBKC +15812-5WON+1.58u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIL@CINCIN +1012-0lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLOAK@SFSF -1221-3WON+0.82u
ml_logit_blendedMLSEA@PITPIT +1003-2lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLBAL@LAALAA +1351-5WON+1.35u
ml_xgbMLLAD@MINMIN +11612-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLPHI@WSHWSH +14114-9lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLTEX@MIATEX +1304-6lost-1.00u
2026-06-22 · 10-19 · -6.26u (-22% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLBAL@LAALAA +1356-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLKC@TBKC +1452-1WON+1.45u
ml_catboostMLLAD@MINMIN +1302-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIL@CINCIN +1452-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLBAL@LAALAA +1356-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLKC@TBKC +1452-1WON+1.45u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@MINMIN +1302-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIL@CINCIN +1452-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBAL@LAALAA +1356-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLKC@TBKC +1452-1WON+1.45u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@MINMIN +1302-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@CINCIN +1452-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYY@DETDET +1093-5WON+1.09u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTEX@MIAMIA -1214-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLARI@STLARI +1202-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLKC@TBKC +1452-1WON+1.45u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@MINMIN +1302-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@CINCIN +1452-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@SDSD -1090-1WON+0.92u
ml_logit_blendedMLBAL@LAALAA +1356-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCLE@CWSCWS -1045-6WON+0.96u
ml_logit_blendedMLKC@TBKC +1452-1WON+1.45u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@MINMIN +1302-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIL@CINCIN +1452-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLNYY@DETDET +1093-5WON+1.09u
ml_xgbMLBAL@LAALAA +1356-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLKC@TBKC +1452-1WON+1.45u
ml_xgbMLLAD@MINMIN +1302-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIL@CINCIN +1452-1lost-1.00u
2026-06-21 · 8-5 · +6.61u (+51% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLBAL@LADBAL +18012-1WON+1.79u
ml_catboostMLNYM@PHINYM +1652-6lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLBAL@LADBAL +18012-1WON+1.79u
ml_lgbmMLNYM@PHINYM +1652-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBAL@LADBAL +18012-1WON+1.79u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIN@ARIMIN +1124-2WON+1.12u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYM@PHINYM +1652-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAA@OAKLAA +1109-7WON+1.10u
ml_logit_baselineMLNYM@PHINYM +1652-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAA@OAKLAA +1109-7WON+1.10u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIN@ARIMIN +1124-2WON+1.12u
ml_xgbMLBAL@LADBAL +18012-1WON+1.79u
ml_xgbMLNYM@PHINYM +1652-6lost-1.00u
2026-06-20 · 17-9 · +19.86u (+76% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLBAL@LADBAL +2093-2WON+2.09u
ml_catboostMLNYM@PHINYM +1513-15lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLPIT@COLCOL +1721-2WON+1.71u
ml_lgbmMLBAL@LADBAL +2093-2WON+2.09u
ml_lgbmMLCLE@HOUCLE +1208-1WON+1.20u
ml_lgbmMLMIN@ARIMIN +11116-8WON+1.11u
ml_lgbmMLNYM@PHINYM +1513-15lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLPIT@COLCOL +1721-2WON+1.71u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBAL@LADBAL +2093-2WON+2.09u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYM@PHINYM +1513-15lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPIT@COLCOL +1721-2WON+1.71u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSF@MIASF +1183-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLBAL@LADBAL +2093-2WON+2.09u
ml_logit_baselineMLBOS@SEABOS +1065-1WON+1.06u
ml_logit_baselineMLCLE@HOUCLE +1208-1WON+1.20u
ml_logit_baselineMLNYM@PHINYM +1513-15lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLPIT@COLCOL +1721-2WON+1.71u
ml_logit_baselineMLWSH@TBTB -1204-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLBAL@LADBAL +2093-2WON+2.09u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAA@OAKLAA +1447-0WON+1.44u
ml_logit_blendedMLNYM@PHINYM +1513-15lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLPIT@COLCOL +1721-2WON+1.71u
ml_logit_blendedMLSD@TEXTEX -1386-4lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLBAL@LADBAL +2093-2WON+2.09u
ml_xgbMLNYM@PHINYM +1513-15lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLPIT@COLCOL +1721-2WON+1.71u
2026-06-19 · 5-4 · +2.53u (+28% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCWS@DETCWS +1873-4lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIL@ATLATL +1422-3WON+1.42u
ml_lgbmMLCWS@DETCWS +1873-4lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIL@ATLATL +1422-3WON+1.42u
ml_logit_baselineMLCWS@DETCWS +1873-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@ATLATL +1422-3WON+1.42u
ml_logit_baselineMLWSH@TBTB -1202-5WON+0.83u
ml_xgbMLCWS@DETCWS +1873-4lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIL@ATLATL +1422-3WON+1.42u
2026-06-18 · 3-0 · +3.46u (+116% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCWS@NYYCWS +1305-1WON+1.30u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYM@PHINYM +1086-4WON+1.08u
ml_logit_blendedMLNYM@PHINYM +1086-4WON+1.08u
2026-06-17 · 2-6 · -3.69u (-46% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCWS@NYYCWS +1455-10lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAA@ARILAA +1411-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTB@LADTB +1594-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTOR@BOSTOR +1063-0WON+1.06u
ml_logit_baselineMLBAL@SEABAL +1245-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@CHCCOL +1586-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAA@ARILAA +1411-8lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLPIT@OAKOAK +10212-4lost-1.00u
2026-06-16 · 15-11 · +8.05u (+31% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCOL@CHCCOL +1645-2WON+1.65u
ml_catboostMLNYM@CINCIN +1043-5WON+1.04u
ml_catboostMLSF@ATLSF +1317-2WON+1.31u
ml_lgbmMLCLE@MILCLE +1301-2lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCOL@CHCCOL +1645-2WON+1.65u
ml_lgbmMLDET@HOUDET +1252-4lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIN@TEXMIN +11912-2WON+1.19u
ml_lgbmMLNYM@CINCIN +1043-5WON+1.04u
ml_lgbmMLSF@ATLSF +1317-2WON+1.31u
ml_lgbmMLTB@LADTB +1280-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCLE@MILCLE +1301-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCWS@NYYCWS +1212-12lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIA@PHIMIA +1412-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSF@ATLSF +1317-2WON+1.31u
ml_logit_baselineMLBAL@SEASEA -1481-3WON+0.67u
ml_logit_baselineMLCLE@MILCLE +1301-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLNYM@CINCIN +1043-5WON+1.04u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@CHCCOL +1645-2WON+1.65u
ml_logit_blendedMLCWS@NYYCWS +1212-12lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIN@TEXMIN +11912-2WON+1.19u
ml_xgbMLBAL@SEABAL +1301-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCLE@MILCLE +1301-2lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCOL@CHCCOL +1645-2WON+1.65u
ml_xgbMLNYM@CINCIN +1043-5WON+1.04u
ml_xgbMLSF@ATLSF +1317-2WON+1.31u
ml_xgbMLTB@LADTB +1280-1lost-1.00u
2026-06-15 · 1-16 · -15.26u (-90% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCOL@CHCCOL +1714-5lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIA@PHIMIA +1700-7lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLTB@LADTB +1373-4lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCOL@CHCCOL +1714-5lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIA@PHIMIA +1700-7lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLTB@LADTB +1373-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIA@PHIMIA +1700-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTB@LADTB +1373-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCOL@CHCCOL +1714-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIA@PHIMIA +1700-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLNYM@CINCIN -1350-12WON+0.74u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@CHCCOL +1714-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIA@PHIMIA +1700-7lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCOL@CHCCOL +1714-5lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIA@PHIMIA +1700-7lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLSD@STLSD +1270-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLTB@LADTB +1373-4lost-1.00u
2026-06-14 · 0-1 · -1.00u (-100% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_logit_baselineMLTEX@BOSBOS -1106-4lost-1.00u
2026-06-13 · 7-22 · -13.64u (-47% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCHC@SFSF +1076-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLCOL@OAKCOL +1455-7lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLDET@CLECLE +1261-3WON+1.26u
ml_catboostMLLAD@CWSCWS +1707-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCHC@SFSF +1076-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCOL@OAKCOL +1455-7lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLHOU@KCHOU +1108-7WON+1.10u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@CWSCWS +1707-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLSEA@WSHSEA -1053-8lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLTEX@BOSTEX -1013-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@SFSF +1076-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLDET@CLECLE +1261-3WON+1.26u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLHOU@KCHOU +1108-7WON+1.10u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@CWSCWS +1707-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLATL@NYMNYM -1113-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@SFSF +1076-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCOL@OAKCOL +1455-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLDET@CLECLE +1261-3WON+1.26u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@CWSCWS +1707-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@NYMNYM -1113-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@SFSF +1076-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@OAKCOL +1455-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLHOU@KCHOU +1108-7WON+1.10u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@CWSCWS +1707-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSD@BALBAL -1309-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCHC@SFSF +1076-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCOL@OAKCOL +1455-7lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLDET@CLECLE +1261-3WON+1.26u
ml_xgbMLLAD@CWSCWS +1707-1lost-1.00u
2026-06-12 · 5-15 · -8.68u (-43% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLPHI@MILPHI +2100-6lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCHC@SFSF -1105-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLPHI@MILPHI +2100-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@SFSF -1105-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@CWSCWS +1192-8WON+1.19u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPHI@MILPHI +2100-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSEA@WSHWSH +12510-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTB@LAALAA +1513-4WON+1.51u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@SFSF -1105-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLPHI@MILPHI +2100-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLARI@CINCIN -1065-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@NYMNYM -1095-7WON+0.92u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@SFSF -1105-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@OAKCOL +1504-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLHOU@KCKC +10010-8lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@CWSCWS +1192-8WON+1.19u
ml_logit_blendedMLPHI@MILPHI +2100-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSEA@WSHWSH +12510-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLTB@LAALAA +1513-4WON+1.51u
ml_xgbMLPHI@MILPHI +2100-6lost-1.00u
2026-06-11 · 0-6 · -6.00u (-100% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLLAD@PITPIT +1268-6lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@PITPIT +1268-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@PITPIT +1268-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@PITPIT +1268-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@PITPIT +1268-6lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLLAD@PITPIT +1268-6lost-1.00u
2026-06-10 · 1-0 · +0.83u (+83% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_logit_all_l30dMLHOU@LAALAA -1212-3WON+0.83u
2026-06-09 · 7-1 · +7.27u (+91% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCHC@COLCOL +1263-7WON+1.26u
ml_lgbmMLCHC@COLCOL +1263-7WON+1.26u
ml_lgbmMLMIL@OAKOAK -1035-7WON+0.98u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@COLCOL +1263-7WON+1.26u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLWSH@SFSF -1166-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@OAKOAK -1035-7WON+0.98u
ml_logit_blendedMLCHC@COLCOL +1263-7WON+1.26u
ml_xgbMLCHC@COLCOL +1263-7WON+1.26u
2026-06-08 · 4-21 · -16.57u (-66% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCIN@SDCIN +1152-6lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIL@OAKOAK +13415-14lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLNYY@CLECLE -1157-5lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLPHI@TORTOR +1505-2lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCIN@SDCIN +1152-6lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIL@OAKOAK +13415-14lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLPHI@TORTOR +1505-2lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLWSH@SFWSH +1494-3WON+1.49u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBOS@TBTB -1021-3WON+0.98u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@OAKOAK +13415-14lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLPHI@TORTOR +1505-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCIN@SDCIN +1152-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@OAKOAK +13415-14lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLPHI@TORTOR +1505-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLBOS@TBTB -1021-3WON+0.98u
ml_logit_blendedMLCIN@SDCIN +1152-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLHOU@LAALAA +1055-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIL@OAKOAK +13415-14lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLPHI@TORTOR +1505-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSEA@BALBAL +1106-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLBOS@TBTB -1021-3WON+0.98u
ml_xgbMLCIN@SDCIN +1152-6lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIL@OAKOAK +13415-14lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLNYY@CLECLE -1157-5lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLPHI@TORTOR +1505-2lost-1.00u
2026-06-07 · 0-2 · -2.00u (-100% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLWSH@ARIWSH +1121-5lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLWSH@ARIWSH +1121-5lost-1.00u
2026-06-06 · 12-13 · +1.89u (+8% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLLAA@LADLAA +2702-9lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIL@COLCOL +2077-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLWSH@ARIWSH +1366-1WON+1.36u
ml_lgbmMLLAA@LADLAA +2702-9lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIL@COLCOL +2077-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLWSH@ARIWSH +1366-1WON+1.36u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBAL@TORTOR -1064-6WON+0.94u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCWS@PHICWS +1106-3WON+1.10u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAA@LADLAA +2702-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@COLCOL +2077-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYM@SDSD +1042-3WON+1.04u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTB@MIAMIA +1273-4WON+1.27u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLWSH@ARIWSH +1366-1WON+1.36u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAA@LADLAA +2702-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@COLCOL +2077-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLWSH@ARIWSH +1366-1WON+1.36u
ml_logit_blendedMLCWS@PHICWS +1106-3WON+1.10u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAA@LADLAA +2702-9lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIL@COLCOL +2077-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLPIT@ATLPIT -1013-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLTB@MIAMIA +1273-4WON+1.27u
ml_logit_blendedMLWSH@ARIWSH +1366-1WON+1.36u
ml_xgbMLLAA@LADLAA +2702-9lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIL@COLCOL +2077-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLWSH@ARIWSH +1366-1WON+1.36u
2026-06-05 · 5-12 · -6.45u (-38% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLCLE@TEXTEX +1182-3WON+1.19u
ml_catboostMLLAA@LADLAA +1580-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLMIL@COLCOL +1329-7lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCIN@STLCIN +1163-10lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLLAA@LADLAA +1580-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLMIL@COLCOL +1329-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAA@LADLAA +1580-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@COLCOL +1329-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLWSH@ARIWSH +11314-1WON+1.13u
ml_logit_baselineMLCLE@TEXTEX +1182-3WON+1.19u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAA@LADLAA +1580-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLMIL@COLCOL +1329-7lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLKC@MINMIN -1153-5WON+0.87u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAA@LADLAA +1580-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCLE@TEXTEX +1182-3WON+1.19u
ml_xgbMLLAA@LADLAA +1580-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLMIL@COLCOL +1329-7lost-1.00u
2026-06-04 · 5-0 · +6.20u (+124% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_lgbmMLLAD@ARIARI +1242-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@ARIARI +1242-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@ARIARI +1242-3WON+1.24u
ml_logit_blendedMLLAD@ARIARI +1242-3WON+1.24u
ml_xgbMLLAD@ARIARI +1242-3WON+1.24u
2026-06-03 · 0-6 · -6.00u (-100% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLLAD@ARIARI +1607-0lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLLAD@ARIARI +1607-0lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLLAD@ARIARI +1607-0lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAD@ARIARI +1607-0lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLCOL@LAACOL +1354-11lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLLAD@ARIARI +1607-0lost-1.00u
2026-05-30 · 17-12 · +8.47u (+29% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLATL@CINCIN +1185-2lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLCHC@STLSTL +1096-1lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLNYY@OAKOAK +1334-6WON+1.33u
ml_catboostMLTOR@BALBAL +1105-6WON+1.10u
ml_lgbmMLARI@SEAARI +1361-5lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLATL@CINCIN +1185-2lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLCHC@STLSTL +1096-1lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLLAA@TBLAA +13514-3WON+1.35u
ml_lgbmMLNYY@OAKOAK +1334-6WON+1.33u
ml_lgbmMLTOR@BALBAL +1105-6WON+1.10u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLATL@CINCIN +1185-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIA@NYMMIA +1181-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYY@OAKOAK +1334-6WON+1.33u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSD@WSHWSH +1104-9WON+1.10u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTOR@BALBAL +1105-6WON+1.10u
ml_logit_baselineMLATL@CINCIN +1185-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@STLSTL +1096-1lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLLAA@TBLAA +13514-3WON+1.35u
ml_logit_baselineMLNYY@OAKOAK +1334-6WON+1.33u
ml_logit_baselineMLPHI@LADPHI +1064-3WON+1.06u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@CINCIN +1185-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLNYY@OAKOAK +1334-6WON+1.33u
ml_logit_blendedMLPHI@LADPHI +1064-3WON+1.06u
ml_logit_blendedMLSD@WSHWSH +1104-9WON+1.10u
ml_xgbMLATL@CINCIN +1185-2lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCHC@STLSTL +1096-1lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLNYY@OAKOAK +1334-6WON+1.33u
ml_xgbMLSF@COLCOL +1093-8WON+1.09u
ml_xgbMLTOR@BALBAL +1105-6WON+1.10u
2026-05-29 · 14-21 · -5.05u (-14% ROI)
ModelMktGameBetFinalResultUnits
ml_catboostMLATL@CINCIN +1218-3lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLDET@CWSCWS +1043-4WON+1.04u
ml_catboostMLKC@TEXTEX -1261-9WON+0.79u
ml_catboostMLNYY@OAKOAK +1238-2lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLSD@WSHWSH -1067-5lost-1.00u
ml_catboostMLSF@COLCOL +1406-8WON+1.40u
ml_lgbmMLATL@CINCIN +1218-3lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLDET@CWSCWS +1043-4WON+1.04u
ml_lgbmMLNYY@OAKOAK +1238-2lost-1.00u
ml_lgbmMLSF@COLCOL +1406-8WON+1.40u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLBOS@CLECLE -1183-4WON+0.85u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLCHC@STLSTL +1165-6WON+1.16u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLDET@CWSCWS +1043-4WON+1.04u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIL@HOUHOU +1055-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLMIN@PITMIN +1185-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLNYY@OAKOAK +1238-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLSD@WSHWSH -1067-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_all_l30dMLTOR@BALBAL -1126-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLATL@CINCIN +1218-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_baselineMLCHC@STLSTL +1165-6WON+1.16u
ml_logit_baselineMLSF@COLCOL +1406-8WON+1.40u
ml_logit_blendedMLATL@CINCIN +1218-3lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLDET@CWSCWS +1043-4WON+1.04u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIL@HOUHOU +1055-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLMIN@PITMIN +1185-6lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLNYY@OAKOAK +1238-2lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLPHI@LADPHI +1002-4lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLSD@WSHWSH -1067-5lost-1.00u
ml_logit_blendedMLTOR@BALBAL -1126-5lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLATL@CINCIN +1218-3lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLCHC@STLSTL +1165-6WON+1.16u
ml_xgbMLDET@CWSCWS +1043-4WON+1.04u
ml_xgbMLNYY@OAKOAK +1238-2lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLSD@WSHWSH -1067-5lost-1.00u
ml_xgbMLSF@COLCOL +1406-8WON+1.40u
Backtest (WF) = leak-safe walk-forward record where it exists (ml_lgbm today); the rest show "run pending" until their walk-forward backtests complete. Lifetime = live picks since each model went live (~April–May 2026). Most models losing at the 7% gate matches what every test has shown — the market is efficient and our edge-vs-market is usually overconfidence.