Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-17

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
NYM@CIN
2026-06-17 · Wed 12:41 PM ET · NYM 9 — CIN 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
KC@WSH
2026-06-17 · Wed 01:06 PM ET · KC 6 — WSH 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIA@PHI
2026-06-17 · Wed 01:06 PM ET · MIA 12 — PHI 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SF@ATL
2026-06-17 · Wed 02:05 PM ET · SF 7 — ATL 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
DET@HOU
2026-06-17 · Wed 02:11 PM ET · DET 2 — HOU 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SD@STL
2026-06-17 · Wed 02:16 PM ET · SD 6 — STL 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TB@LAD
2026-06-17 · Wed 03:11 PM ET · TB 4 — LAD 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DLAD -18553%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAD -18565%✓+1.00u
LAA@ARI
2026-06-17 · Wed 03:41 PM ET · LAA 1 — ARI 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DARI -16451%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAA +14152%✗-1.00u
TOR@BOS
2026-06-17 · Wed 06:46 PM ET · TOR 3 — BOS 0 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DTOR +10655%✓+1.06u
LOGISTIC blendedBOS -12352%✗-1.23u
CWS@NYY
2026-06-17 · Wed 07:06 PM ET · CWS 5 — NYY 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DNYY -16954%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedNYY -16961%✓+1.00u
CLE@MIL
2026-06-17 · Wed 07:41 PM ET · CLE 4 — MIL 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIL -12254%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)CLE +10551%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DMIL -12255%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedMIL -12257%✓+1.00u
LightGBMMIL -12252%✓+1.00u
XGBoostMIL -12253%✓+1.00u
COL@CHC
2026-06-17 · Wed 08:06 PM ET · COL 6 — CHC 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DCHC -18362%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedCOL +15855%✗-1.00u
BAL@SEA
2026-06-17 · Wed 09:41 PM ET · BAL 5 — SEA 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSEA -14352%✗-1.43u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SEA -14352%✗-1.43u
LOGISTIC L30DSEA -14361%✗-1.43u
LOGISTIC blendedSEA -14359%✗-1.43u
LightGBMSEA -14352%✗-1.43u
XGBoostSEA -14353%✗-1.43u
PIT@OAK
2026-06-17 · Wed 09:41 PM ET · PIT 12 — OAK 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostOAK +10251%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)PIT -12051%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DPIT -12055%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedPIT -12058%✓+1.00u
LightGBMOAK +10252%✗-1.00u
XGBoostOAK +10253%✗-1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.