Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-21

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
CIN@NYY
2026-06-21 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · CIN 4 — NYY 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIL@ATL
2026-06-21 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · MIL 9 — ATL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
WSH@TB
2026-06-21 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · WSH 3 — TB 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SF@MIA
2026-06-21 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · SF 1 — MIA 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CWS@DET
2026-06-21 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · CWS 4 — DET 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
STL@KC
2026-06-21 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · STL 12 — KC 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CLE@HOU
2026-06-21 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · CLE 1 — HOU 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SD@TEX
2026-06-21 · Sun 02:36 PM ET · SD 3 — TEX 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PIT@COL
2026-06-21 · Sun 03:11 PM ET · PIT 8 — COL 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DPIT -14555%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedPIT -14552%✓+1.00u
MIN@ARI
2026-06-21 · Sun 03:16 PM ET · MIN 4 — ARI 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DMIN +11252%✓+1.12u
LOGISTIC blendedMIN +11253%✓+1.12u
LAA@OAK
2026-06-21 · Sun 04:06 PM ET · LAA 9 — OAK 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostLAA +11050%✓+1.10u
LOGISTIC (baseline)LAA +11052%✓+1.10u
LOGISTIC blendedLAA +11058%✓+1.10u
LightGBMOAK -12851%✗-1.28u
XGBoostOAK -12853%✗-1.28u
BOS@SEA
2026-06-21 · Sun 04:11 PM ET · BOS 1 — SEA 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSEA -14259%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SEA -14263%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DSEA -14258%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedSEA -14258%✓+1.00u
LightGBMSEA -14255%✓+1.00u
XGBoostSEA -14253%✓+1.00u
BAL@LAD
2026-06-21 · Sun 04:11 PM ET · BAL 12 — LAD 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostLAD -21359%✗-2.13u
LOGISTIC (baseline)LAD -21362%✗-2.13u
LOGISTIC L30DLAD -21353%✗-2.13u
LOGISTIC blendedLAD -21362%✗-2.13u
LightGBMLAD -21354%✗-2.13u
XGBoostLAD -21353%✗-2.13u
NYM@PHI
2026-06-21 · Sun 07:21 PM ET · NYM 2 — PHI 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostPHI -19457%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)PHI -19459%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DPHI -19453%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedPHI -19462%✓+1.00u
LightGBMPHI -19455%✓+1.00u
XGBoostPHI -19453%✓+1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.