Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-14

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
MIA@PIT
2026-06-14 · Sun 12:16 PM ET · MIA 4 — PIT 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SEA@WSH
2026-06-14 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · SEA 1 — WSH 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SD@BAL
2026-06-14 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · SD 5 — BAL 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
NYY@TOR
2026-06-14 · Sun 01:38 PM ET · NYY 8 — TOR 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ATL@NYM
2026-06-14 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · ATL 1 — NYM 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ARI@CIN
2026-06-14 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · ARI 5 — CIN 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
STL@MIN
2026-06-14 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · STL 4 — MIN 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PHI@MIL
2026-06-14 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · PHI 0 — MIL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
HOU@KC
2026-06-14 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · HOU 0 — KC 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
LAD@CWS
2026-06-14 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · LAD 4 — CWS 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
COL@OAK
2026-06-14 · Sun 03:06 PM ET · COL 23 — OAK 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CHC@SF
2026-06-14 · Sun 03:11 PM ET · CHC 1 — SF 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TB@LAA
2026-06-14 · Sun 04:08 PM ET · TB 8 — LAA 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DTB -11955%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedTB -11950%✓+1.00u
TEX@BOS
2026-06-14 · Sun 07:21 PM ET · TEX 6 — BOS 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostBOS -11052%✗-1.10u
LOGISTIC (baseline)BOS -11057%✗-1.10u
LOGISTIC L30DBOS -11056%✗-1.10u
LOGISTIC blendedBOS -11050%✗-1.10u
LightGBMBOS -11051%✗-1.10u
XGBoostBOS -11052%✗-1.10u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.