Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-19

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
TOR@CHC
2026-06-19 · Fri 02:21 PM ET · TOR 2 — CHC 16 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CWS@DET
2026-06-19 · Fri 06:41 PM ET · CWS 3 — DET 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostDET -22555%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)DET -22561%✓+1.00u
LightGBMDET -22554%✓+1.00u
XGBoostDET -22552%✓+1.00u
CIN@NYY
2026-06-19 · Fri 07:06 PM ET · CIN 0 — NYY 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
WSH@TB
2026-06-19 · Fri 07:11 PM ET · WSH 2 — TB 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostTB -12057%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)TB -12060%✓+1.00u
LightGBMTB -12054%✓+1.00u
XGBoostTB -12052%✓+1.00u
SF@MIA
2026-06-19 · Fri 07:11 PM ET · SF 3 — MIA 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIA -13052%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)MIA -13055%✓+1.00u
LightGBMSF +10951%✗-1.00u
XGBoostMIA -13052%✓+1.00u
MIL@ATL
2026-06-19 · Fri 07:16 PM ET · MIL 2 — ATL 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostMIL -16550%✗-1.65u
LOGISTIC (baseline)MIL -16551%✗-1.65u
LightGBMMIL -16552%✗-1.65u
XGBoostATL +14253%✓+1.42u
SD@TEX
2026-06-19 · Fri 08:06 PM ET · SD 7 — TEX 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CLE@HOU
2026-06-19 · Fri 08:11 PM ET · CLE 3 — HOU 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
STL@KC
2026-06-19 · Fri 08:16 PM ET · STL 5 — KC 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PIT@COL
2026-06-19 · Fri 08:41 PM ET · PIT 3 — COL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
LAA@OAK
2026-06-19 · Fri 09:41 PM ET · LAA 11 — OAK 12 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIN@ARI
2026-06-19 · Fri 09:46 PM ET · MIN 5 — ARI 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
BOS@SEA
2026-06-19 · Fri 10:11 PM ET · BOS 6 — SEA 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
BAL@LAD
2026-06-19 · Fri 10:11 PM ET · BAL 5 — LAD 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.