Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 02, 02:03 AM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-18

07-03 07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11
TOR@BOS
2026-06-18 · Thu 01:36 PM ET · TOR 4 — BOS 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CLE@MIL
2026-06-18 · Thu 02:11 PM ET · CLE 4 — MIL 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIN@TEX
2026-06-18 · Thu 02:36 PM ET · MIN 9 — TEX 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
BAL@SEA
2026-06-18 · Thu 04:11 PM ET · BAL 0 — SEA 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DSEA -15459%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedSEA -15461%✓+1.00u
NYM@PHI
2026-06-18 · Thu 06:41 PM ET · NYM 6 — PHI 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DNYM +10852%✓+1.08u
LOGISTIC blendedNYM +10853%✓+1.08u
CWS@NYY
2026-06-18 · Thu 07:06 PM ET · CWS 5 — NYY 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DCWS +13051%✓+1.30u
LOGISTIC blendedNYY -15457%✗-1.54u
STL@KC
2026-06-18 · Thu 07:41 PM ET · STL 6 — KC 14 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DSTL +10252%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedKC -12050%✓+1.00u
LAA@OAK
2026-06-18 · Thu 09:41 PM ET · LAA 0 — OAK 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC blendedOAK -13051%✓+1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.