Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jul 01, 12:46 PM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)263-227-4.8%48-42+14.2%215-185-7.7%
LOGISTIC blended267-224-2.4%48-52+3.5%219-172-3.5%
LOGISTIC L30D255-239-5.8%54-72-7.3%201-167-5.5%
LightGBM236-254-12.2%50-71-9.5%186-183-12.8%
CatBoost169-174-11.5%29-41-10.8%140-133-11.6%
XGBoost168-188-12.8%41-62-12.6%127-126-12.8%

Games — 2026-06-10

07-02 07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11 06-10
BOS@TB
2026-06-10 · Wed 01:11 PM ET · BOS 5 — TB 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
NYY@CLE
2026-06-10 · Wed 01:11 PM ET · NYY 8 — CLE 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
WSH@SF
2026-06-10 · Wed 03:46 PM ET · WSH 10 — SF 11 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CIN@SD
2026-06-10 · Wed 04:11 PM ET · CIN 4 — SD 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SEA@BAL
2026-06-10 · Wed 06:36 PM ET · SEA 2 — BAL 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSEA -12551%✗-1.25u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SEA -12553%✗-1.25u
LightGBMSEA -12551%✗-1.25u
XGBoostBAL +10552%✓+1.05u
LAD@PIT
2026-06-10 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · LAD 8 — PIT 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ARI@MIA
2026-06-10 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · ARI 0 — MIA 8 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIN@DET
2026-06-10 · Wed 06:41 PM ET · MIN 6 — DET 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PHI@TOR
2026-06-10 · Wed 07:08 PM ET · PHI 7 — TOR 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
STL@NYM
2026-06-10 · Wed 07:11 PM ET · STL 9 — NYM 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TEX@KC
2026-06-10 · Wed 07:41 PM ET · TEX 6 — KC 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ATL@CWS
2026-06-10 · Wed 07:41 PM ET · ATL 1 — CWS 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CHC@COL
2026-06-10 · Wed 08:41 PM ET · CHC 2 — COL 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIL@OAK
2026-06-10 · Wed 09:06 PM ET · MIL 3 — OAK 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
HOU@LAA
2026-06-10 · Wed 09:39 PM ET · HOU 2 — LAA 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DLAA -12160%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedLAA -12157%✓+1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.