Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jun 30, 09:46 PM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)253-224-6.0%45-42+10.4%208-182-8.5%
LOGISTIC blended256-220-3.5%45-52-0.2%211-168-4.1%
LightGBM232-245-11.4%50-69-8.0%182-176-12.2%
LOGISTIC L30D247-233-6.1%52-71-8.6%195-162-5.5%
XGBoost163-180-12.2%41-59-10.0%122-121-12.9%
CatBoost162-168-11.8%29-41-10.8%133-127-12.0%

Games — 2026-06-09

07-01 06-30 06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11 06-10 06-09
SEA@BAL
2026-06-09 · Tue 06:36 PM ET · SEA 6 — BAL 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
NYY@CLE
2026-06-09 · Tue 06:41 PM ET · NYY 3 — CLE 2 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
BOS@TB
2026-06-09 · Tue 06:41 PM ET · BOS 3 — TB 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
LAD@PIT
2026-06-09 · Tue 06:41 PM ET · LAD 12 — PIT 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ARI@MIA
2026-06-09 · Tue 06:41 PM ET · ARI 6 — MIA 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIN@DET
2026-06-09 · Tue 06:41 PM ET · MIN 4 — DET 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PHI@TOR
2026-06-09 · Tue 07:08 PM ET · PHI 2 — TOR 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
STL@NYM
2026-06-09 · Tue 07:11 PM ET · STL 7 — NYM 0 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
ATL@CWS
2026-06-09 · Tue 07:41 PM ET · ATL 5 — CWS 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TEX@KC
2026-06-09 · Tue 07:41 PM ET · TEX 3 — KC 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CHC@COL
2026-06-09 · Tue 08:41 PM ET · CHC 3 — COL 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostCOL +12650%+1.26u
LOGISTIC (baseline)CHC -14753%-1.47u
LOGISTIC L30DCOL +12653%+1.26u
LOGISTIC blendedCHC -14751%-1.47u
LightGBMCOL +12652%+1.26u
XGBoostCOL +12651%+1.26u
HOU@LAA
2026-06-09 · Tue 09:39 PM ET · HOU 1 — LAA 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
LOGISTIC L30DHOU -12051%-1.20u
LOGISTIC blendedHOU -12050%-1.20u
CIN@SD
2026-06-09 · Tue 09:41 PM ET · CIN 5 — SD 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostCIN -11252%+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)CIN -11251%+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DSD -10552%-1.05u
LOGISTIC blendedCIN -11255%+1.00u
LightGBMCIN -11251%+1.00u
XGBoostSD -10551%-1.05u
WSH@SF
2026-06-09 · Tue 09:46 PM ET · WSH 6 — SF 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSF -11651%-1.16u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SF -11654%-1.16u
LOGISTIC L30DSF -11659%-1.16u
LOGISTIC blendedSF -11655%-1.16u
LightGBMSF -11653%-1.16u
XGBoostSF -11652%-1.16u
MIL@OAK
2026-06-09 · Tue 10:06 PM ET · MIL 5 — OAK 7 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostOAK -10354%+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)OAK -10358%+1.00u
LOGISTIC L30DOAK -10353%+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedOAK -10352%+1.00u
LightGBMOAK -10355%+1.00u
XGBoostOAK -10354%+1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.