Model Records — 2026

Every model's pick on every game · paper · updated Jun 28, 01:46 PM ET

Season standings (all 2026) — sorted by underdog ROI

ModelOverallROIDogsDog ROIFavsFav ROI
LOGISTIC (baseline)251-219-5.5%45-40+13.0%206-179-8.3%
LOGISTIC blended252-220-4.2%43-52-2.6%209-168-4.5%
LightGBM228-242-11.6%49-68-8.3%179-174-12.4%
LOGISTIC L30D244-232-6.5%50-70-9.9%194-162-5.7%
XGBoost158-178-13.1%39-58-11.6%119-120-13.6%
CatBoost155-168-13.7%26-41-16.4%129-127-13.2%

Games — 2026-06-07

06-29 06-28 06-27 06-26 06-25 06-24 06-23 06-22 06-21 06-20 06-19 06-18 06-17 06-16 06-15 06-14 06-13 06-12 06-11 06-10 06-09 06-08 06-07
BOS@NYY
2026-06-07 · Sun 01:35 PM ET · BOS 1 — NYY 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CWS@PHI
2026-06-07 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · CWS 5 — PHI 9 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
PIT@ATL
2026-06-07 · Sun 01:36 PM ET · PIT 2 — ATL 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
BAL@TOR
2026-06-07 · Sun 01:38 PM ET · BAL 4 — TOR 6 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
TB@MIA
2026-06-07 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · TB 1 — MIA 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SEA@DET
2026-06-07 · Sun 01:41 PM ET · SEA 4 — DET 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
KC@MIN
2026-06-07 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · KC 6 — MIN 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
OAK@HOU
2026-06-07 · Sun 02:11 PM ET · OAK 5 — HOU 0 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CIN@STL
2026-06-07 · Sun 02:16 PM ET · CIN 3 — STL 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
CLE@TEX
2026-06-07 · Sun 02:36 PM ET · CLE 0 — TEX 10 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
MIL@COL
2026-06-07 · Sun 03:11 PM ET · MIL 12 — COL 4 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
WSH@ARI
2026-06-07 · Sun 03:16 PM ET · WSH 1 — ARI 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostWSH +11254%✗-1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)ARI -13257%✓+1.00u
LightGBMWSH +11253%✗-1.00u
XGBoostARI -13252%✓+1.00u
NYM@SD
2026-06-07 · Sun 04:11 PM ET · NYM 7 — SD 3 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSD -11152%✗-1.11u
LOGISTIC (baseline)SD -11152%✗-1.11u
LightGBMNYM -10550%✓+1.00u
XGBoostSD -11154%✗-1.11u
LAA@LAD
2026-06-07 · Sun 04:11 PM ET · LAA 13 — LAD 5 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
no model predictions
SF@CHC
2026-06-07 · Sun 08:21 PM ET · SF 2 — CHC 1 · Final
ModelPickWin%W/LUnits
CatBoostSF -10251%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC (baseline)CHC -11654%✗-1.16u
LOGISTIC L30DSF -10254%✓+1.00u
LOGISTIC blendedSF -10251%✓+1.00u
LightGBMCHC -11653%✗-1.16u
XGBoostSF -10251%✓+1.00u
Each model's pick = the side it favored to win, on EVERY game (no edge filter). Graded vs the locked final, staked favorites bet-to-win-1u, underdogs risk-1u. Prices are the opening line. PAPER ONLY — research, not bet recommendations. Betting every game pays the vig on every game, so negative totals are expected.