First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-07-01

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
TEX @ CLEPROJECTED1:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.04
Pinnacle4.0+0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX+178-100
CLE-178-120
Full-game ML (current)TEX +108  ·  CLE -116 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:40 AM ET · 1000 sims
DET @ NYYPROJECTED1:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.97
Pinnacle5.5-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
DET-137-102
NYY+137-118
Full-game ML (current)DET +124  ·  NYY -133 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ BOSPROJECTED1:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.49
Pinnacle5.0-1.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH+202+115
BOS-202-135
Full-game ML (current)WSH +134  ·  BOS -147 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
SD @ CHCPROJECTED2:21 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.73
Pinnacle7.0-3.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SD-115+115
CHC+115-135
Full-game ML (current)SD +108  ·  CHC -116 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:38 AM ET · 1000 sims
PIT @ PHIPROJECTED6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total2.54
Pinnacle4.0-1.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PIT-111+110
PHI+111-130
Full-game ML (current)PIT +127  ·  PHI -139 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
STL @ ATLPROJECTED7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.64
Pinnacle5.0-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
STL+111+103
ATL-111-123
Full-game ML (current)STL +113  ·  ATL -122 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:37 AM ET · 1000 sims
TB @ KCPROJECTED7:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.98
Pinnacle5.5-1.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TB+101-145
KC-101+125
Full-game ML (current)TB -143  ·  KC +131 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:37 AM ET · 1000 sims
CIN @ MILPROJECTED8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.94
Pinnacle5.0-1.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CIN+103+130
MIL-103-149
Full-game ML (current)CIN +137  ·  MIL -149 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIN @ HOUPROJECTED8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.43
Pinnacle4.5-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIN-112+105
HOU+112-125
Full-game ML (current)MIN +136  ·  HOU -147 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIA @ COLPROJECTED8:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.79
Pinnacle5.5-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIA-114-149
COL+114+130
Full-game ML (current)MIA -139  ·  COL +127 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
SF @ ARIPROJECTED9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.08
Pinnacle5.0-0.9
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SF+105+105
ARI-105-125
Full-game ML (current)SF +117  ·  ARI -127 Pinnacle
last sim Jul 1, 2:48 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.