First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-22

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 8: total leans 3/7 right, ML leans 5/6 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
NYY @ DETFINAL 1–5 (F5)6:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.62
Pinnacle4.5-0.9
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYY+103-118
DET-103-103
Full-game ML (current)NYY -118  ·  DET +108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 22, 2:18 AM ET · 1000 sims
KC @ TBFINAL 2–1 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.04
Pinnacle4.0+0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
KC-116+165
TB+116-189
Full-game ML (current)KC +157  ·  TB -172 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 22, 2:17 AM ET · 1000 sims
CHC @ NYMFINAL 3–3 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.99
Pinnacle4.0-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CHC+109-110
NYM-109-110
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 22, 2:17 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAD @ MINFINAL 1–1 (F5)7:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.82
Pinnacle5.5-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAD+163-130
MIN-163+110
Full-game ML (current)LAD -141  ·  MIN +129 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✓F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 22, 3:51 AM ET · 1000 sims
CLE @ CWSFINAL 0–2 (F5)7:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.33
Pinnacle4.0+1.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CLE-228-115
CWS+228-105
Full-game ML (current)CLE -103  ·  CWS -105 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 22, 2:18 AM ET · 1000 sims
ARI @ STLFINAL 0–3 (F5)7:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.48
Pinnacle4.5-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ARI+273+126
STL-273-147
Full-game ML (current)ARI +134  ·  STL -145 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 22, 2:19 AM ET · 1000 sims
BAL @ LAAFINAL 5–0 (F5)9:39 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.08
Pinnacle5.0-0.9
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BAL-178-161
LAA+178+140
Full-game ML (current)BAL -161  ·  LAA +148 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5pushF5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 22, 2:16 AM ET · 1000 sims
ATL @ SDFINAL 0–1 (F5)10:10 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.58
Pinnacle4.0-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ATL+137-105
SD-137-115
Full-game ML (current)ATL -100  ·  SD -109 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 22, 2:18 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.