Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total
(Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the
market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a
blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green.
PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup;
CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final
First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a
research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.