First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-28

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 11: total leans 7/10 right, ML leans 5/10 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
CIN @ PITFINAL 4–5 (F5)1:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.83
Pinnacle5.0-0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CIN-116+110
PIT+116-130
Full-game ML (current)CIN +117  ·  PIT -127 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 28, 2:38 AM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ BALFINAL 5–2 (F5)1:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.78
Pinnacle5.0-1.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH+142+170
BAL-142-196
Full-game ML (current)WSH +172  ·  BAL -189 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 28, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
ARI @ TBFINAL 0–4 (F5)1:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.09
Pinnacle4.5+0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ARI+181+177
TB-181-204
Full-game ML (current)ARI +169  ·  TB -185 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 28, 2:39 AM ET · 1000 sims
HOU @ DETFINAL 0–3 (F5)1:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.67
Pinnacle4.0-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
HOU-150-118
DET+150-102
Full-game ML (current)HOU -114  ·  DET +104 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 28, 2:39 AM ET · 1000 sims
SEA @ CLEFINAL 3–1 (F5)1:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.95
Pinnacle4.0-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SEA-105-100
CLE+105-120
Full-game ML (current)SEA +102  ·  CLE -110 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4pushF5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 28, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
CHC @ MILFINAL 0–1 (F5)2:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.23
Pinnacle4.5-1.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CHC+207+135
MIL-207-154
Full-game ML (current)CHC +143  ·  MIL -156 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 28, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
KC @ CWSFINAL 5–4 (F5)2:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.40
Pinnacle4.5+0.9
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
KC-202+115
CWS+202-135
Full-game ML (current)KC +119  ·  CWS -128 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 28, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
OAK @ LAAFINAL 1–4 (F5)3:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.23
Pinnacle5.5-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
OAK+101-110
LAA-101-110
Full-game ML (current)OAK -103  ·  LAA -105 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 28, 2:38 AM ET · 1000 sims
ATL @ SFFINAL 0–0 (F5)4:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.87
Pinnacle4.0-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ATL-160-175
SF+160+153
Full-game ML (current)ATL -175  ·  SF +160 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 28, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAD @ SDFINAL 4–1 (F5)4:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.78
Pinnacle4.0+0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAD+206-135
SD-206+115
Full-game ML (current)LAD -128  ·  SD +118 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✓F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 28, 2:38 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYY @ BOSFINAL 0–2 (F5)7:21 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.43
Pinnacle4.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYY-112-110
BOS+112-110
Full-game ML (current)NYY -100  ·  BOS -108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 28, 2:53 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.