First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-29

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 7: total leans 2/6 right, ML leans 3/6 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
CWS @ BALFINAL 2–2 (F5)6:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.41
Pinnacle5.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CWS-104-100
BAL+104-120
Full-game ML (current)CWS +120  ·  BAL -130 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 29, 1:48 AM ET · 1000 sims
PIT @ PHIFINAL 8–5 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.40
Pinnacle4.5-1.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PIT+112-130
PHI-112+110
Full-game ML (current)PIT -101  ·  PHI -108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 29, 1:48 AM ET · 1000 sims
DET @ NYYFINAL 7–0 (F5)7:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.55
Pinnacle4.0+0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
DET-121+110
NYY+121-130
Full-game ML (current)DET +122  ·  NYY -132 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 29, 1:56 AM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ BOSFINAL 1–6 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.92
Pinnacle4.5-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH+164+149
BOS-164-169
Full-game ML (current)WSH +148  ·  BOS -161 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 29, 1:50 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAA @ SEAFINAL 2–3 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.20
Pinnacle4.5-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAA+163+177
SEA-163-204
Full-game ML (current)LAA +173  ·  SEA -189 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 29, 7:11 PM ET · 10000 sims
LAD @ OAKFINAL 5–3 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.02
Pinnacle5.5-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAD+172+110
OAK-172-130
Full-game ML (current)LAD -111  ·  OAK +102 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 29, 7:05 PM ET · 10000 sims
SF @ ARIFINAL 1–4 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.39
Pinnacle5.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SF-126+115
ARI+126-135
Full-game ML (current)SF +120  ·  ARI -130 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5pushF5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 29, 7:33 PM ET · 10000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.