First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-30

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 12: total leans 5/9 right, ML leans 7/9 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
CWS @ BALFINAL 9–3 (F5)6:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.40
Pinnacle6.0-1.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CWS+126+120
BAL-126-141
Full-game ML (current)CWS +126  ·  BAL -137 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 6✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 30, 1:17 AM ET · 1000 sims
PIT @ PHIFINAL 0–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.67
Pinnacle4.5-0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PIT+144+186
PHI-144-222
Full-game ML (current)PIT +195  ·  PHI -213 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 30, 1:15 AM ET · 1000 sims
TEX @ CLEFINAL 2–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.42
Pinnacle4.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX-119-145
CLE+119+125
Full-game ML (current)TEX -119  ·  CLE +110 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4pushF5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 30, 1:20 AM ET · 1000 sims
DET @ NYYFINAL 6–1 (F5)7:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.63
Pinnacle3.5+0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
DET-167-109
NYY+167-111
Full-game ML (current)DET -105  ·  NYY -103 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 3.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 30, 1:18 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYM @ TORFINAL 1–0 (F5)7:08 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.92
Pinnacle4.5-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYM-141-110
TOR+141-110
Full-game ML (current)NYM -108  ·  TOR -100 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 30, 1:16 AM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ BOSFINAL 1–1 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.32
Pinnacle4.5-0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH-113+105
BOS+113-125
Full-game ML (current)WSH +120  ·  BOS -130 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 30, 1:16 AM ET · 1000 sims
STL @ ATLFINAL 4–1 (F5)7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.96
Pinnacle5.0-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
STL+157+110
ATL-157-130
Full-game ML (current)STL +128  ·  ATL -139 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5pushF5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 30, 1:29 AM ET · 1000 sims
SD @ CHCFINAL 3–8 (F5)8:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.47
Pinnacle6.5-3.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SD+115+130
CHC-115-149
Full-game ML (current)SD +123  ·  CHC -133 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 6.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 30, 7:54 PM ET · 1000 sims
MIN @ HOUFINAL 4–6 (F5)8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.82
Pinnacle4.5-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIN+128-137
HOU-128+117
Full-game ML (current)MIN -110  ·  HOU +101 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 30, 7:51 PM ET · 1000 sims
MIA @ COLFINAL 5–1 (F5)8:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.45
Pinnacle6.0-1.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIA-152-135
COL+152+115
Full-game ML (current)MIA -128  ·  COL +118 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 6pushF5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 30, 1:06 PM ET · 1000 sims
SF @ ARIFINAL 0–6 (F5)9:40 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.47
Pinnacle5.0-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SF+198-110
ARI-198-110
Full-game ML (current)SF +101  ·  ARI -110 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 30, 7:51 PM ET · 1000 sims
LAA @ SEAFINAL 0–0 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.47
Pinnacle3.5-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAA+133+157
SEA-133-179
Full-game ML (current)LAA +165  ·  SEA -182 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 3.5✓F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 30, 1:17 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.