First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-27

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 10: total leans 4/8 right, ML leans 1/7 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
HOU @ DETFINAL 4–6 (F5)1:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.71
Pinnacle4.5-0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
HOU+122+125
DET-122-145
Full-game ML (current)HOU +119  ·  DET -132 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 27, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
TEX @ TORFINAL 6–2 (F5)3:08 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.18
Pinnacle4.5-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX+146+170
TOR-146-196
Full-game ML (current)TEX +167  ·  TOR -182 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 27, 1:52 PM ET · 1000 sims
KC @ CWSFINAL 0–0 (F5)4:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.93
Pinnacle4.5-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
KC-111-100
CWS+111-120
Full-game ML (current)KC +114  ·  CWS -123 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 27, 2:08 PM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ BALFINAL 2–1 (F5)7:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.82
Pinnacle4.5+0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH+115-115
BAL-115-105
Full-game ML (current)WSH -102  ·  BAL -106 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 27, 2:32 AM ET · 1000 sims
CHC @ MILFINAL 2–2 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.35
Pinnacle4.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CHC-103+142
MIL+103-161
Full-game ML (current)CHC +135  ·  MIL -147 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4pushF5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 27, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
SEA @ CLEFINAL 0–4 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.74
Pinnacle4.0+0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SEA-151-154
CLE+151+135
Full-game ML (current)SEA -145  ·  CLE +133 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4pushF5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 27, 9:00 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIA @ STLFINAL 4–0 (F5)7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.28
Pinnacle5.0-1.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIA+162+120
STL-162-141
Full-game ML (current)MIA +123  ·  STL -133 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 27, 2:44 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAD @ SDFINAL 1–1 (F5)8:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.68
Pinnacle4.5+0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAD+112-227
SD-112+189
Full-game ML (current)LAD -204  ·  SD +187 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 27, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
ATL @ SFFINAL 0–5 (F5)9:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.11
Pinnacle4.0+0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ATL-102+125
SF+102-145
Full-game ML (current)ATL +116  ·  SF -125 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 27, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
OAK @ LAAFINAL 1–2 (F5)9:39 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.90
Pinnacle4.0-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
OAK-235-105
LAA+235-115
Full-game ML (current)OAK -100  ·  LAA -108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 27, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.