First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-24

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 9: total leans 6/8 right, ML leans 6/7 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
TEX @ MIAFINAL 1–2 (F5)12:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.32
Pinnacle3.5-0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX-121-125
MIA+121+105
Full-game ML (current)TEX -120  ·  MIA +109 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 3.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 24, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
CLE @ CWSFINAL 0–0 (F5)2:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.45
Pinnacle4.5-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CLE-132-118
CWS+132-102
Full-game ML (current)CLE -103  ·  CWS -105 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 24, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
BOS @ COLFINAL 6–3 (F5)3:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.21
Pinnacle5.5-1.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BOS-126-169
COL+126+149
Full-game ML (current)BOS -167  ·  COL +153 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 24, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
SEA @ PITFINAL 1–5 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.14
Pinnacle4.0+0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SEA+152-102
PIT-152-118
Full-game ML (current)SEA +105  ·  PIT -114 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 24, 2:32 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYY @ DETFINAL 2–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.99
Pinnacle3.5+0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYY+207+130
DET-207-149
Full-game ML (current)NYY +113  ·  DET -123 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 3.5✓F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 24, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
PHI @ WSHFINAL 3–2 (F5)6:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.07
Pinnacle5.0-0.9
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PHI-137-115
WSH+137-105
Full-game ML (current)PHI -118  ·  WSH +108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5pushF5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 24, 2:47 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIL @ CINFINAL 3–0 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.63
Pinnacle5.0-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIL-135-135
CIN+135+115
Full-game ML (current)MIL -125  ·  CIN +115 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 24, 2:30 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAD @ MINFINAL 4–3 (F5)7:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.42
Pinnacle4.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAD-187-149
MIN+187+130
Full-game ML (current)LAD -154  ·  MIN +140 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 24, 2:34 AM ET · 1000 sims
ATL @ SDFINAL 0–3 (F5)8:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.44
Pinnacle4.5-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ATL+114-120
SD-114-100
Full-game ML (current)ATL -108  ·  SD -101 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 24, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.