First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-16

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 10: total leans 6/10 right, ML leans 5/8 right
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Days

2026-07-03
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Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
KC @ WSHFINAL 1–3 (F5)6:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.23
Pinnacle4.5-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
KC-165+120
WSH+165-141
Full-game ML (current)KC +122  ·  WSH -132 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 15, 11:55 PM ET · 1000 sims
CWS @ NYYFINAL 1–11 (F5)7:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.54
Pinnacle4.0-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CWS+111+120
NYY-111-141
Full-game ML (current)CWS +132  ·  NYY -143 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 16, 8:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYM @ CINFINAL 1–5 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.46
Pinnacle5.5-1.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYM-112-112
CIN+112-108
Full-game ML (current)NYM -108  ·  CIN -101 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 16, 2:13 PM ET · 1000 sims
SF @ ATLFINAL 5–2 (F5)7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.29
Pinnacle5.0-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SF+158+135
ATL-157-154
Full-game ML (current)SF +145  ·  ATL -159 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 16, 12:08 AM ET · 1000 sims
SD @ STLFINAL 1–3 (F5)7:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.32
Pinnacle4.5-1.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SD+133+105
STL-133-125
Full-game ML (current)SD +103  ·  STL -112 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 15, 11:55 PM ET · 1000 sims
MIN @ TEXFINAL 10–2 (F5)8:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.55
Pinnacle4.5+0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIN-142+105
TEX+142-125
Full-game ML (current)MIN +112  ·  TEX -122 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 15, 11:53 PM ET · 1000 sims
DET @ HOUFINAL 1–1 (F5)8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.42
Pinnacle4.5-1.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
DET+140+155
HOU-140-179
Full-game ML (current)DET +151  ·  HOU -164 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 15, 11:55 PM ET · 1000 sims
BAL @ SEAFINAL 1–1 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.35
Pinnacle4.0+0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BAL+145+125
SEA-145-145
Full-game ML (current)BAL +127  ·  SEA -139 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✗F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 15, 11:54 PM ET · 1000 sims
PIT @ OAKFINAL 1–4 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.38
Pinnacle6.0-2.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PIT+218+125
OAK-218-145
Full-game ML (current)PIT +129  ·  OAK -141 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 6✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 16, 12:07 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAA @ ARIFINAL 5–0 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.07
Pinnacle4.5+0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAA-118-122
ARI+118+102
Full-game ML (current)LAA -106  ·  ARI -102 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 16, 12:10 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.