First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-15

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 7: total leans 2/7 right, ML leans 4/5 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
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Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
MIA @ PHIFINAL 0–5 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.28
Pinnacle4.5-1.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIA+146+177
PHI-146-204
Full-game ML (current)MIA +166  ·  PHI -182 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 15, 5:36 PM ET · 1000 sims
KC @ WSHFINAL 3–7 (F5)6:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.48
Pinnacle5.0-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
KC+160+130
WSH-160-149
Full-game ML (current)KC +117  ·  WSH -127 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 15, 6:19 PM ET · 300 sims
NYM @ CINFINAL 0–9 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.06
Pinnacle4.5-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYM+250+140
CIN-250-161
Full-game ML (current)NYM +118  ·  CIN -128 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 15, 2:59 PM ET · 100 sims
COL @ CHCFINAL 0–1 (F5)8:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.38
Pinnacle5.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
COL+125+177
CHC-125-204
Full-game ML (current)COL +191  ·  CHC -213 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 15, 2:59 PM ET · 100 sims
DET @ HOUFINAL 6–3 (F5)8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.82
Pinnacle5.0-1.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
DET+119-100
HOU-119-120
Full-game ML (current)DET +107  ·  HOU -116 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 15, 2:58 PM ET · 100 sims
LAA @ ARIFINAL 2–2 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.68
Pinnacle5.0-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAA-102+110
ARI+102-130
Full-game ML (current)LAA +126  ·  ARI -137 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 15, 3:00 PM ET · 100 sims
TB @ LADFINAL 3–3 (F5)10:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.79
Pinnacle5.5-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TB-133+140
LAD+133-161
Full-game ML (current)TB +155  ·  LAD -169 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✗F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 15, 6:13 PM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.