First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-14

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 4: total leans 1/4 right, ML leans 3/4 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
STL @ MINFINAL 1–2 (F5)2:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.47
Pinnacle5.0-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
STL+106-105
MIN-106-115
Full-game ML (current)STL -102  ·  MIN -106 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 14, 2:02 PM ET · 1000 sims
COL @ OAKFINAL 14–8 (F5)3:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.45
Pinnacle8.0-3.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
COL+214+153
OAK-214-175
Full-game ML (current)COL +173  ·  OAK -189 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 8✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 14, 2:44 PM ET · 1000 sims
CHC @ SFFINAL 0–3 (F5)3:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.19
Pinnacle4.0+0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CHC+102+125
SF-102-145
Full-game ML (current)CHC +115  ·  SF -125 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 14, 3:04 PM ET · 1000 sims
TEX @ BOSFINAL 6–2 (F5)7:21 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.19
Pinnacle5.0-0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX-139-110
BOS+139-110
Full-game ML (current)TEX +104  ·  BOS -112 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 14, 5:18 PM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.