First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-26

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 11: total leans 2/11 right, ML leans 5/9 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
CIN @ PITFINAL 4–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.01
Pinnacle4.0-1.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CIN+188+174
PIT-188-200
Full-game ML (current)CIN +163  ·  PIT -179 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 26, 2:37 AM ET · 1000 sims
HOU @ DETFINAL 0–8 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.32
Pinnacle5.0-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
HOU-100-100
DET-100-120
Full-game ML (current)HOU -100  ·  DET -108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 26, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ BALFINAL 1–2 (F5)7:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.33
Pinnacle5.0+0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH-146-108
BAL+146-112
Full-game ML (current)WSH +121  ·  BAL -132 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 26, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
TEX @ TORFINAL 5–0 (F5)7:08 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.22
Pinnacle4.5-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX-160-128
TOR+160+109
Full-game ML (current)TEX +102  ·  TOR -110 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 26, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
ARI @ TBFINAL 1–3 (F5)7:10 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.35
Pinnacle4.5-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ARI-124+115
TB+124-135
Full-game ML (current)ARI +118  ·  TB -128 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 26, 4:08 AM ET · 1000 sims
SEA @ CLEFINAL 1–1 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.72
Pinnacle4.0+0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SEA+317-100
CLE-317-120
Full-game ML (current)SEA -103  ·  CLE -105 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✗F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 26, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYY @ BOSFINAL 0–4 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.13
Pinnacle4.5-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYY+258-105
BOS-258-115
Full-game ML (current)NYY +105  ·  BOS -114 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 26, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
CHC @ MILFINAL 1–0 (F5)7:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.80
Pinnacle3.5+0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CHC+141+237
MIL-141-294
Full-game ML (current)CHC +213  ·  MIL -238 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 3.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 26, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
COL @ MINFINAL 0–7 (F5)8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.99
Pinnacle5.0-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
COL+153+145
MIN-153-164
Full-game ML (current)COL +156  ·  MIN -172 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 26, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIA @ STLFINAL 0–0 (F5)8:15 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.72
Pinnacle4.5+0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIA+108-120
STL-108-100
Full-game ML (current)MIA -108  ·  STL -100 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 26, 2:47 AM ET · 1000 sims
OAK @ LAAFINAL 7–3 (F5)9:39 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.91
Pinnacle4.5-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
OAK-170-118
LAA+170-103
Full-game ML (current)OAK -109  ·  LAA +101 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 26, 2:33 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.