First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-23

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 10: total leans 3/9 right, ML leans 2/8 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
KC @ TBFINAL 6–1 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.95
Pinnacle4.0-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
KC+123+157
TB-123-179
Full-game ML (current)KC +164  ·  TB -179 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 23, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
SEA @ PITFINAL 1–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.12
Pinnacle4.5-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SEA-156-135
PIT+156+115
Full-game ML (current)SEA -127  ·  PIT +116 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 23, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
TEX @ MIAFINAL 1–6 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.36
Pinnacle4.5-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TEX+138+145
MIA-138-164
Full-game ML (current)TEX +146  ·  MIA -159 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 23, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYY @ DETFINAL 1–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.67
Pinnacle4.5-0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYY-148-110
DET+148-110
Full-game ML (current)NYY -110  ·  DET +101 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 23, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
PHI @ WSHFINAL 2–5 (F5)6:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.73
Pinnacle4.5-0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PHI-147-154
WSH+147+135
Full-game ML (current)PHI -161  ·  WSH +148 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 23, 2:37 AM ET · 1000 sims
CHC @ NYMFINAL 7–2 (F5)7:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.08
Pinnacle4.5-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CHC+102-115
NYM-102-105
Full-game ML (current)CHC -108  ·  NYM -100 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 23, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
CLE @ CWSFINAL 1–1 (F5)7:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.79
Pinnacle3.5+0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CLE-107-115
CWS+107-105
Full-game ML (current)CLE -108  ·  CWS -101 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 3.5✗F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 23, 2:47 AM ET · 1000 sims
ARI @ STLFINAL 0–0 (F5)7:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.93
Pinnacle4.5+0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
ARI-133-110
STL+133-110
Full-game ML (current)ARI -104  ·  STL -104 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAYpush
last sim Jun 23, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
BAL @ LAAFINAL 0–5 (F5)9:39 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.64
Pinnacle5.0-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BAL-116-145
LAA+116+125
Full-game ML (current)BAL -135  ·  LAA +124 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5pushF5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 23, 2:36 AM ET · 1000 sims
OAK @ SFFINAL 1–2 (F5)9:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.86
Pinnacle5.0-0.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
OAK+138+135
SF-138-154
Full-game ML (current)OAK +128  ·  SF -139 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 23, 2:35 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.