First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-19

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 11: total leans 5/11 right, ML leans 5/10 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
TOR @ CHCFINAL 1–7 (F5)2:21 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.23
Pinnacle3.5+0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TOR-108-102
CHC+108-118
Full-game ML (current)TOR +110  ·  CHC -119 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 3.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 19, 12:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
CWS @ DETFINAL 2–2 (F5)6:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.94
Pinnacle4.5-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CWS+188+186
DET-188-222
Full-game ML (current)CWS +175  ·  DET -192 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✓F5 ML lean HOMEpush
last sim Jun 19, 9:23 AM ET · 1000 sims
CIN @ NYYFINAL 0–4 (F5)7:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.57
Pinnacle5.0-0.4
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CIN+137+215
NYY-137-263
Full-game ML (current)CIN +240  ·  NYY -270 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 19, 12:20 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIL @ ATLFINAL 1–0 (F5)7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.96
Pinnacle4.0-0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIL-152-222
ATL+152+186
Full-game ML (current)MIL -169  ·  ATL +155 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 19, 12:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
SD @ TEXFINAL 6–7 (F5)8:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.28
Pinnacle4.0-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SD+212+167
TEX-212-192
Full-game ML (current)SD +140  ·  TEX -152 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 19, 12:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
CLE @ HOUFINAL 3–2 (F5)8:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.04
Pinnacle4.5-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CLE-134-102
HOU+134-118
Full-game ML (current)CLE +109  ·  HOU -118 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 19, 12:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
STL @ KCFINAL 2–5 (F5)8:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.50
Pinnacle5.0-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
STL+131-118
KC-131-102
Full-game ML (current)STL -118  ·  KC +108 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 19, 12:23 AM ET · 1000 sims
PIT @ COLFINAL 0–2 (F5)8:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.26
Pinnacle6.5-2.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PIT-128-130
COL+128+110
Full-game ML (current)PIT -135  ·  COL +124 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 6.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 19, 12:20 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAA @ OAKFINAL 10–4 (F5)9:41 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.69
Pinnacle5.5-1.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAA+113+105
OAK-113-125
Full-game ML (current)LAA +129  ·  OAK -141 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 19, 9:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIN @ ARIFINAL 3–5 (F5)9:46 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.31
Pinnacle4.5-0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIN-131+145
ARI+131-164
Full-game ML (current)MIN +149  ·  ARI -161 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 19, 12:24 AM ET · 1000 sims
BOS @ SEAFINAL 1–0 (F5)10:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.66
Pinnacle3.5+0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BOS+118-101
SEA-118-119
Full-game ML (current)BOS +101  ·  SEA -109 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 3.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 19, 12:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.