First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-20

updated Jul 2, 3:07 AM ET · per-batter sim vs market · finished 13: total leans 5/13 right, ML leans 6/13 right
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-07-03
—
Tomorrow2026-07-02
7g
Today2026-07-01
11g2026-06-30
12g · final2026-06-29
7g · final2026-06-28
11g · final2026-06-27
10g · final2026-06-26
11g · final2026-06-25
8g2026-06-24
9g · final2026-06-23
10g · final2026-06-22
8g · final2026-06-21
9g2026-06-20
13g · final2026-06-19
11g · final2026-06-18
7g2026-06-16
10g · final2026-06-15
7g · final2026-06-14
4g · final2026-05-21
1g · final
CIN @ NYYFINAL 6–1 (F5)1:36 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.43
Pinnacle5.5-1.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CIN-159+152
NYY+159-172
Full-game ML (current)CIN +183  ·  NYY -204 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 20, 9:26 AM ET · 1000 sims
TOR @ CHCFINAL 0–3 (F5)2:21 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.48
Pinnacle5.0-0.5
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
TOR+119+120
CHC-119-141
Full-game ML (current)TOR +116  ·  CHC -127 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 20, 9:27 AM ET · 1000 sims
SD @ TEXFINAL 1–0 (F5)4:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.34
Pinnacle4.0-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SD-116+120
TEX+116-141
Full-game ML (current)SD +115  ·  TEX -123 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✓F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 20, 9:26 AM ET · 1000 sims
WSH @ TBFINAL 3–2 (F5)4:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.76
Pinnacle4.0-0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
WSH+108-100
TB-108-120
Full-game ML (current)WSH +106  ·  TB -115 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:24 AM ET · 1000 sims
SF @ MIAFINAL 2–6 (F5)4:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.23
Pinnacle4.5-0.3
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
SF-119+130
MIA+119-149
Full-game ML (current)SF +129  ·  MIA -141 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:21 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIL @ ATLFINAL 0–1 (F5)4:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.25
Pinnacle3.5-0.2
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIL+111+123
ATL-111-143
Full-game ML (current)MIL +120  ·  ATL -130 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 3.5✓F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 20, 9:27 AM ET · 1000 sims
NYM @ PHIFINAL 1–13 (F5)7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.39
Pinnacle4.0-0.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
NYM+120+170
PHI-120-196
Full-game ML (current)NYM +170  ·  PHI -189 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✓
last sim Jun 20, 9:28 AM ET · 1000 sims
CLE @ HOUFINAL 6–1 (F5)7:16 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.73
Pinnacle4.5-0.8
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
CLE-126+125
HOU+126-145
Full-game ML (current)CLE +138  ·  HOU -149 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 4.5✗F5 ML lean AWAY✓
last sim Jun 20, 9:27 AM ET · 1000 sims
PIT @ COLFINAL 1–2 (F5)9:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.87
Pinnacle5.5-1.6
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
PIT-303-244
COL+303+203
Full-game ML (current)PIT -213  ·  COL +194 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5.5✓F5 ML lean AWAY✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:26 AM ET · 1000 sims
LAA @ OAKFINAL 2–0 (F5)10:06 PM ET
Our First-5 total3.88
Pinnacle5.0-1.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
LAA+142+148
OAK-142-167
Full-game ML (current)LAA +136  ·  OAK -147 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✓F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:38 AM ET · 1000 sims
BOS @ SEAFINAL 2–1 (F5)10:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.01
Pinnacle4.0+0.0
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BOS+125+105
SEA-125-125
Full-game ML (current)BOS +112  ·  SEA -120 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:26 AM ET · 1000 sims
BAL @ LADFINAL 3–0 (F5)10:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total5.60
Pinnacle4.5+1.1
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
BAL+137+207
LAD-137-250
Full-game ML (current)BAL +243  ·  LAD -270 Pinnacle
total lean OVER 4.5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:28 AM ET · 1000 sims
MIN @ ARIFINAL 16–2 (F5)10:11 PM ET
Our First-5 total4.25
Pinnacle5.0-0.7
TEAMOUR MLBetOnline ML
MIN+107-105
ARI-107-115
Full-game ML (current)MIN +106  ·  ARI -114 Pinnacle
total lean UNDER 5✗F5 ML lean HOME✗
last sim Jun 20, 9:39 AM ET · 1000 sims
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.