First-5 Sim vs Market · 2026-06-17 · Tomorrow

updated Jun 16, 2:13 PM ET · per-batter sim vs market
📊 Sim track record →

Days

2026-06-17

Tomorrow
2026-06-16
10g
Today
2026-06-15
7g · final
2026-06-14
4g · final
2026-05-21
1g · final
No sim for Tomorrow. Use “Run all games” above to simulate this slate.
Our First-5 total = sim mean (per-pitch sims; count chosen above, 1000 default — “Re-sim” on a card re-runs just that game). Total = Pinnacle’s First-5 total (Δ = ours − Pinnacle), the sharp line. Moneyline: Pinnacle posts no First-5 moneyline, so the market ML is from one clean book (named in the column header, usually FanDuel) — a single source, not a blend. OUR ML = sim fair moneyline. Away on top, home on bottom; favorite in green. PROJECTED = RotoWire projected lineup; CONFIRMED = official lineup. Finished games show the final First-5 score and whether the sim's total/ML lean was on the right side — descriptive accuracy of a research sim, not a betting record or a demonstrated edge.