Paper Lines · 2026-07-02

updated 2026-07-02 01:31 AM ET · lifetime 457-497, -18.4u · each day on its own page
PAPER RECORD — research lines, not betting recommendations. Picks lock the moment they post and are never edited; nothing posts after first pitch. Honesty note: every production ML model is NEGATIVE vs the opening line since ~2026-05-17 (audit wf_f58b9027) — these are research flags, not a proven edge.
Totals standings (lifetime)
LineRecordUnitsPending
PER-TEAM (indep.)95-93-8.6u16
GAME (regular)90-96-15.2u18
GAME (platoon)88-98-18.8u19
Dogs standings (lifetime)
LineRecordUnitsPending
REGULAR54-59+8.2u12
2-OF-3 COMBO36-40+5.9u9
LOGISTIC29-33+5.7u6
3-OF-3 ✓ ALL AGREE15-15+5.1u2
PLATOON50-63-0.8u13

Days

2026-07-02
35 open2026-07-01
60 open2026-06-30
30-31 +0.8u2026-06-29
30-19 +9.3u2026-06-28
24-30 -5.4u2026-06-27
28-27 +2.3u2026-06-26
24-30 -3.8u2026-06-25
24-8 +16.8u2026-06-24
22-39 -15.7u2026-06-23
26-30 -2.6u2026-06-22
21-27 -4.5u2026-06-21
22-34 -9.1u2026-06-20
35-25 +18.6u2026-06-19
30-41 -11.7u2026-06-18
10-18 -7.4u2026-06-17
34-19 +14.2u2026-06-16
22-24 -0.8u2026-06-15
7-19 -12.6u2026-06-14
10-11 +1.1u2026-06-13
19-22 -3.2u2026-06-12
26-26 -0.4u2026-06-11
9-16 -7.6u2026-06-10
4-1 +3.2u

Open picks — 2026-07-02

PIT@PHI
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 12:36 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOPIT +110PIT +110fair -145+24% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONPIT +110PIT +110fair -125+17% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARPIT +110PIT +110fair -170+32% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 10 -115UNDER 10 -1109.41-0.59earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 10 -115UNDER 10 -1109.23-0.77earliest-quote
CIN@MIL
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 02:11 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 3-OF-3 ✓ ALL AGREECIN +162CIN +163 ▲fair -112+38% EVearliest-quote
DOG · LOGISTICCIN +162CIN +163 ▲fair +110+25% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONCIN +162CIN +163 ▲fair -121+44% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARCIN +162CIN +163 ▲fair -112+38% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 6.5 -125OVER 6.5 -1238.47 (4.0+4.5)+1.97earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 6.5 -125OVER 6.5 -1239.13+2.63earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 6.5 -125OVER 6.5 -1239.14+2.64earliest-quote
MIA@COL
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 03:11 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 12 -110UNDER 12 -11211.28 (5.7+5.5)-0.72earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 12 -110UNDER 12 -11211.05-0.95earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 12 -110UNDER 12 -11211.36-0.64earliest-quote
DOG · no betCOL +105COL +105 ▲fair -102+4%edge +4% — below the 7% gate
CWS@CLE
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 06:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · LOGISTICCLE +100CLE +100fair -125+11% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 8.5 -115OVER 8.5 -1159.34 (4.7+4.6)+0.84earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 8.5 -115OVER 8.5 -1159.07+0.57earliest-quote
TB@KC
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 07:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 10.5 -117UNDER 10.5 -1158.98 (4.7+4.3)-1.52earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 10.5 -117UNDER 10.5 -1159.3-1.2earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 10.5 -117UNDER 10.5 -1159.65-0.85earliest-quote
DOG · no betKC -106KC +100fair +106-6%no dog at +100 or better
DET@TEX
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 08:06 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 7.5 -114OVER 7.5 -1188.57 (4.0+4.6)+1.07earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 7.5 -114OVER 7.5 -1188.87+1.37earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 7.5 -114OVER 7.5 -1189.19+1.69earliest-quote
DOG · no betDET +110DET +110 ▲fair +168-22%edge -22% — below the 7% gate
LAA@SEA
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 09:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOLAA +170LAA +170fair +125+20% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONLAA +170LAA +170fair +119+23% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARLAA +170LAA +170fair +131+17% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 7.5 -108OVER 7.5 -1098.3+0.8earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 7.5 -108OVER 7.5 -1098.24+0.74earliest-quote
SD@LAD
2026-07-02 · first pitch Thu 10:11 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOSD +160SD +162 ▲fair +132+12% EVearliest-quote
DOG · LOGISTICSD +160SD +162 ▲fair +114+21% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARSD +160SD +162 ▲fair +132+12% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 8.5 -120OVER 8.5 -1209.19 (4.5+4.7)+0.69earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 8.5 -120OVER 8.5 -1209.04+0.54earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 8.5 -120OVER 8.5 -1209.25+0.75earliest-quote
23 pick(s) voided — game played but no matching result (mislinked game_pk or postponed); excluded from the record.
TOTALS — two ways to handicap a total, side by side. The two GAME models go straight at the game's total as ONE number; PER-TEAM builds each team's runs on its own, then sums. DOGS — each winner-model bets any underdog whose opening price pays 7%+ over its win odds; 2-OF-3 needs two votes and no model on the favorite; 3-OF-3 means all three agree. Flat 1u at the opening consensus price.