Paper Lines · 2026-07-01

updated 2026-07-02 01:31 AM ET · lifetime 457-497, -18.4u · each day on its own page
PAPER RECORD — research lines, not betting recommendations. Picks lock the moment they post and are never edited; nothing posts after first pitch. Honesty note: every production ML model is NEGATIVE vs the opening line since ~2026-05-17 (audit wf_f58b9027) — these are research flags, not a proven edge.
Totals standings (lifetime)
LineRecordUnitsPending
PER-TEAM (indep.)95-93-8.6u16
GAME (regular)90-96-15.2u18
GAME (platoon)88-98-18.8u19
Dogs standings (lifetime)
LineRecordUnitsPending
REGULAR54-59+8.2u12
2-OF-3 COMBO36-40+5.9u9
LOGISTIC29-33+5.7u6
3-OF-3 ✓ ALL AGREE15-15+5.1u2
PLATOON50-63-0.8u13

Days

2026-07-02
35 open2026-07-01
60 open2026-06-30
30-31 +0.8u2026-06-29
30-19 +9.3u2026-06-28
24-30 -5.4u2026-06-27
28-27 +2.3u2026-06-26
24-30 -3.8u2026-06-25
24-8 +16.8u2026-06-24
22-39 -15.7u2026-06-23
26-30 -2.6u2026-06-22
21-27 -4.5u2026-06-21
22-34 -9.1u2026-06-20
35-25 +18.6u2026-06-19
30-41 -11.7u2026-06-18
10-18 -7.4u2026-06-17
34-19 +14.2u2026-06-16
22-24 -0.8u2026-06-15
7-19 -12.6u2026-06-14
10-11 +1.1u2026-06-13
19-22 -3.2u2026-06-12
26-26 -0.4u2026-06-11
9-16 -7.6u2026-06-10
4-1 +3.2u

Open picks — 2026-07-01

CWS@BAL IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 12:36 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOCWS +115CWS +155 ▲fair -143+26% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONCWS +115CWS +155 ▲fair -148+28% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARCWS +115CWS +155 ▲fair -138+25% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 10 -110UNDER 10 -1049.26-0.74earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 10 -110UNDER 10 -1049.44-0.56earliest-quote
DET@NYY IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 01:36 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · PLATOONDET +120DET +125 ▲fair -109+15% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 10 -106UNDER 9.5 -110 ▼-0.59.22 (4.7+4.5)-0.78earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 10 -106UNDER 9.5 -110 ▼-0.59.31-0.69earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 10 -106UNDER 9.5 -110 ▼-0.59.26-0.74earliest-quote
WSH@BOS IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 01:36 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOWSH +125WSH -154 ▼fair +104+10% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONWSH +125WSH -154 ▼fair +102+11% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARWSH +125WSH -154 ▼fair +104+10% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 10 -110UNDER 9.5 -110 ▼-0.59.31 (4.7+4.6)-0.69earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 9.5 -118OVER 9.5 -11410.31+0.81earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 10 -110OVER 9.5 -114 ▼-0.510.67+0.67earliest-quote
SD@CHC IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 02:21 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 11.5 -106UNDER 11.5 +1029.31 (4.7+4.6)-2.19earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 11.5 -106UNDER 11.5 +1029.39-2.11earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 11.5 -106UNDER 11.5 +1029.48-2.02earliest-quote
DOG · no betnot evaluated this cycle yet
NYM@TOR IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 03:08 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 8.5 -120OVER 8.5 -1139.09 (4.8+4.3)+0.59earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 8.5 -120OVER 8.5 -1139.42+0.92earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 8.5 -120OVER 8.5 -1139.46+0.96earliest-quote
DOG · no betnot evaluated this cycle yet
PIT@PHI IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 06:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOPIT +114PIT +625 ▲fair -114+14% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONPIT +114PIT +625 ▲fair -114+14% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARPIT +114PIT +625 ▲fair -118+16% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 8 -115OVER 8 -1158.77 (4.8+4.0)+0.77earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 8 -115OVER 8 -1158.69+0.69earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 8 -115OVER 8 -1158.78+0.78earliest-quote
STL@ATL IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 07:16 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 3-OF-3 ✓ ALL AGREESTL +110STL +675 ▲fair -129+18% EVearliest-quote
DOG · LOGISTICSTL +110STL +675 ▲fair -119+14% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONSTL +110STL +675 ▲fair -129+18% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARSTL +110STL +675 ▲fair -147+25% EVearliest-quote
TB@KC IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 07:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · PLATOONKC +118KC +700 ▲fair -113+16% EVlocked-open
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 10 -105UNDER 10.5 -105 ▲+0.59.38 (4.9+4.4)-0.62earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 10 -105UNDER 10.5 -105 ▲+0.59.38-0.62earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 10 -115OVER 10.5 -122 ▲+0.510.51+0.51earliest-quote
CIN@MIL IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 08:11 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · REGULARCIN +135CIN +454 ▲fair +111+11% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 8.5 -115OVER 8.5 -1129.42 (4.4+5.0)+0.92earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 8.5 -115OVER 8.5 -1129.09+0.59earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 8.5 -115OVER 8.5 -1129.47+0.97earliest-quote
MIN@HOU IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 08:11 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOMIN +105MIN -833 ▼fair -196+36% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONMIN +105MIN -833 ▼fair -215+40% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARMIN +105MIN -833 ▼fair -179+32% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 8 -125OVER 8.5 -124 ▲+0.59.2 (4.6+4.6)+1.2earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 8 -125OVER 8.5 -124 ▲+0.58.67+0.67earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 8 -125OVER 8.5 -124 ▲+0.58.9+0.9earliest-quote
MIA@COL IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 08:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOCOL +136COL -714 ▼fair +118+8% EVlocked-open
DOG · LOGISTICCOL +133COL -714 ▼fair +104+14% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONCOL +136COL -714 ▼fair +118+8% EVlocked-open
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)UNDER 11 -120UNDER 11 -11010.12 (5.4+4.7)-0.88earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)UNDER 10.5 +105UNDER 11 -110 ▲+0.59.85-0.65earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)UNDER 11 -120UNDER 11 -11010.34-0.66earliest-quote
LAD@OAK IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 09:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · 2-OF-3 COMBOOAK +158OAK -278 ▼fair +139+8% EVearliest-quote
DOG · LOGISTICOAK +158OAK -278 ▼fair +111+23% EVearliest-quote
DOG · PLATOONOAK +158OAK -278 ▼fair +139+8% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULAROAK +149OAK -278 ▼fair +102+23% EVearliest-quote
TOTAL · PER-TEAM (indep.)OVER 9.5 -112OVER 10.5 -120 ▲+110.78 (5.4+5.4)+1.28earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (platoon)OVER 9.5 -112OVER 10.5 -120 ▲+110.24+0.74earliest-quote
TOTAL · GAME (regular)OVER 9 -115OVER 10.5 -120 ▲+1.59.91+0.91earliest-quote
SF@ARI IN PLAY — locked
2026-07-01 · first pitch Wed 09:41 PM ET
LineBet (opening)CurrentOur lineEdgePrice src
DOG · PLATOONSF +100SF -588 ▼fair -157+22% EVearliest-quote
DOG · REGULARSF +100SF -588 ▼fair -165+25% EVlocked-open
23 pick(s) voided — game played but no matching result (mislinked game_pk or postponed); excluded from the record.
TOTALS — two ways to handicap a total, side by side. The two GAME models go straight at the game's total as ONE number; PER-TEAM builds each team's runs on its own, then sums. DOGS — each winner-model bets any underdog whose opening price pays 7%+ over its win odds; 2-OF-3 needs two votes and no model on the favorite; 3-OF-3 means all three agree. Flat 1u at the opening consensus price.