↻ Refresh in progress — pulling new lines & re-running predictions… this page updates automatically when it finishes.
Side-by-side comparison of where each surface lands today. Diagnostic only — no betting decisions made here.
Game cards · who picked what
One card per game (chronological by start time). Each card shows market Open / Current + ensemble Fair (raw) + Fair (calibrated) for both sides, which of the 4 surfaces (Alibi · Flyer · Today's Best · Side Model) picked each side, plus a per-model breakdown table inside the card (sidemodel format) showing each production ML model's pick, Open / Current, Fair (raw), Fair (calibrated), and Edge in cents vs the current market.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
2:11 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers (away)
Milwaukee Brewers (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | MIL (home) | +153 / +137 | +105 | +102 | -31c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | MIL (home) | +153 / +137 | -103 | — | -40c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | MIL (home) | +153 / +137 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIL (home) | +153 / +137 | +101 | — | -36c |
| Side Model | MIL (home) | +153 / +137 | +105 | +122 | -31c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| LAD (away) | -169 | -149 | | | | | — |
|---|
| MIL (home) | +153 | +137 | | BET MIL +117 | BET +101 (+7.6pp) | BET +105 (+6.5pp) | 3of4 +4.7pp |
|---|
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
4:11 PM ET
Colorado Rockies (away)
Arizona Diamondbacks (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | COL (away) | +166 / +173 | +142 | +128 | -30c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | COL (away) | +166 / +173 | +138 | — | -35c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | COL (away) | +166 / +173 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | COL (away) | +166 / +173 | +140 | — | -32c |
| Side Model | COL (away) | +166 / +173 | +142 | +113 | -30c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| COL (away) | +166 | +173 | | BET COL +123 | BET +140 (+5.0pp) | BET +142 (+4.6pp) | 3of4 +3.2pp |
|---|
| ARI (home) | -185 | -189 | | | | | — |
|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays
12:16 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates (away)
Toronto Blue Jays (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | TOR (home) | -149 / -167 | -154 | -128 | +13c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | PIT (away) | +136 / +152 | +102 | — | -49c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | PIT (away) | +136 / +152 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | PIT (away) | +136 / +152 | +125 | — | -27c |
| Side Model | PIT (away) | +136 / +152 | +154 | +113 | +1c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| PIT (away) | +136 | +152 | | BET PIT +134 | BET +125 (+4.8pp) | | 2of4 +2.4pp |
|---|
| TOR (home) | -149 | -167 | | | | | — |
|---|
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
1:36 PM ET
Minnesota Twins (away)
Boston Red Sox (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | MIN (away) | +139 / +139 | +111 | -102 | -28c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | MIN (away) | +139 / +139 | +115 | — | -24c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIN (away) | +139 / +139 | +113 | — | -26c |
| Side Model | MIN (away) | +139 / +139 | +111 | -102 | -28c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| MIN (away) | +139 | +139 | | | BET +113 (+5.2pp) | BET +111 (+5.6pp) | 2of4 +5.4pp |
|---|
| BOS (home) | -154 | -152 | | | | | — |
|---|
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
1:41 PM ET
New York Mets (away)
Miami Marlins (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | MIA (home) | +105 / -123 | -108 | +102 | +15c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | MIA (home) | +105 / -123 | -130 | — | -6c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIA (home) | +105 / -123 | -118 | — | +5c |
| Side Model | MIA (home) | +105 / -123 | -108 | +102 | +15c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| NYM (away) | -116 | +114 | | | | BET +108 (+1.4pp) | 1of4 +1.4pp |
|---|
| MIA (home) | +105 | -123 | | | | | — |
|---|
Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals
2:11 PM ET
Seattle Mariners (away)
Kansas City Royals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | KC (home) | +122 / +106 | +102 | +102 | -4c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | KC (home) | +122 / +106 | +107 | — | +0c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | KC (home) | +122 / +106 | +104 | — | -1c |
| Side Model | KC (home) | +122 / +106 | +102 | +117 | -4c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| SEA (away) | -135 | -114 | | | | | — |
|---|
| KC (home) | +122 | +106 | | | BET +104 (+0.5pp) | BET +102 (+1.1pp) | 2of4 +0.8pp |
|---|
Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants
4:06 PM ET
Chicago White Sox (away)
San Francisco Giants (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | SF (home) | -106 / -114 | -170 | -128 | -56c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | SF (home) | -106 / -114 | -140 | — | -26c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | SF (home) | -106 / -114 | -154 | — | -40c |
| Side Model | SF (home) | -106 / -114 | -170 | -128 | -56c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CWS (away) | -104 | +105 | | | | | — |
|---|
| SF (home) | -106 | -114 | | | BET -154 (+7.4pp) | BET -170 (+9.8pp) | 2of4 +8.6pp |
|---|
Athletics @ San Diego Padres
4:11 PM ET
Athletics (away)
San Diego Padres (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | OAK (away) | +146 / +145 | +115 | +122 | -29c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | OAK (away) | +146 / +145 | +120 | — | -24c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | OAK (away) | +146 / +145 | +118 | — | -27c |
| Side Model | OAK (away) | +146 / +145 | +115 | +122 | -29c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| OAK (away) | +146 | +145 | | | BET +118 (+5.1pp) | BET +115 (+5.7pp) | 2of4 +5.4pp |
|---|
| SD (home) | -161 | -159 | | | | | — |
|---|
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
4:11 PM ET
Washington Nationals (away)
Atlanta Braves (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | WSH (away) | +139 / +144 | -101 | -102 | -44c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | WSH (away) | +139 / +144 | +122 | — | -22c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | WSH (away) | +139 / +144 | +110 | — | -34c |
| Side Model | WSH (away) | +139 / +144 | -101 | -102 | -44c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| WSH (away) | +139 | +144 | | | BET +110 (+6.7pp) | BET -101 (+9.2pp) | 2of4 +8.0pp |
|---|
| ATL (home) | -154 | -156 | | | | | — |
|---|
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
7:21 PM ET
Texas Rangers (away)
Los Angeles Angels (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | LAA (home) | -114 / -118 | -110 | -103 | +7c |
| ml_lgbm | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | -114 | -110 | -22c |
| ml_xgb | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | +104 | -103 | -5c |
| ml_catboost | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | +107 | -104 | -1c |
| ml_logit_blended | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | +105 | -102 | -3c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | +105 | — | -3c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | LAA (home) | -114 / -118 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | +100 | — | -8c |
| Side Model | TEX (away) | +105 / +109 | +102 | -103 | -6c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TEX (away) | +105 | +109 | | | BET +100 (+2.1pp) | BET +102 (+1.5pp) | 2of4 +1.8pp |
|---|
| LAA (home) | -114 | -118 | | BET LAA -110 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
2:21 PM ET
Houston Astros (away)
Chicago Cubs (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | HOU (away) | +145 / +152 | +135 | +128 | -16c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | HOU (away) | +145 / +152 | +149 | — | -2c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | HOU (away) | +145 / +152 | +142 | — | -9c |
| Side Model | HOU (away) | +145 / +152 | +135 | +128 | -16c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| HOU (away) | +145 | +152 | | | BET +142 (+1.6pp) | BET +135 (+2.8pp) | 2of4 +2.2pp |
|---|
| CHC (home) | -161 | -164 | | | | | — |
|---|
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
6:06 PM ET
Detroit Tigers (away)
Baltimore Orioles (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | DET (away) | +105 / +117 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Side Model | DET (away) | +105 / +117 | — | -117 | -33c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| DET (away) | +105 | +117 | | BET DET -114 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
| BAL (home) | -116 | -127 | | | | | — |
|---|
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
1:36 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians (away)
Philadelphia Phillies (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | PHI (home) | +111 / +102 | +103 | +102 | +1c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | CLE (away) | -122 / -110 | -120 | — | -10c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CLE (away) | -122 / -110 | -111 | — | -1c |
| Side Model | PHI (home) | +111 / +102 | +103 | +102 | +1c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CLE (away) | -122 | -110 | | | BET -111 (+0.3pp) | | 1of4 +0.3pp |
|---|
| PHI (home) | +111 | +102 | | | | | — |
|---|
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
1:36 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays (away)
New York Yankees (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | NYY (home) | -133 / -128 | -140 | -128 | -11c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | TB (away) | +120 / +119 | +116 | — | -3c |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | NYY (home) | -133 / -128 | -127 | — | +1c |
| Side Model | TB (away) | +120 / +119 | +140 | +103 | +20c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TB (away) | +120 | +119 | | | | | — |
|---|
| NYY (home) | -133 | -128 | | | | BET -140 (+2.1pp) | 1of4 +2.1pp |
|---|