↻ Refresh in progress — pulling new lines & re-running predictions… this page updates automatically when it finishes.
Side-by-side comparison of where each surface lands today. Diagnostic only — no betting decisions made here.
Game cards · who picked what
One card per game (chronological by start time). Each card shows market Open / Current + ensemble Fair (raw) + Fair (calibrated) for both sides, which of the 4 surfaces (Alibi · Flyer · Today's Best · Side Model) picked each side, plus a per-model breakdown table inside the card (sidemodel format) showing each production ML model's pick, Open / Current, Fair (raw), Fair (calibrated), and Edge in cents vs the current market.
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
6:41 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians (away)
Philadelphia Phillies (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +122 | +103 | -36c |
| ml_lgbm | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +114 | -103 | -44c |
| ml_xgb | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +116 | -110 | -42c |
| ml_catboost | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +118 | -104 | -39c |
| ml_logit_blended | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +121 | +131 | -37c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +122 | — | -36c |
| Flyer | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +117 | — | -41c |
| Side Model | CLE (away) | +154 / +158 | +118 | +103 | -39c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CLE (away) | +154 | +158 | BET +122 (+6.3pp) | BET CLE +122 | BET +117 (+7.4pp) | BET +118 (+7.1pp) | 4of4 +5.2pp |
|---|
| PHI (home) | -172 | -172 | | | | | — |
|---|
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
7:11 PM ET
New York Mets (away)
Miami Marlins (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -144 | -111 | -36c |
| ml_lgbm | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -153 | -151 | -45c |
| ml_xgb | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -145 | +110 | -37c |
| ml_catboost | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -160 | +104 | -52c |
| ml_logit_blended | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -119 | -131 | -11c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -144 | — | -36c |
| Flyer | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -138 | — | -30c |
| Side Model | MIA (home) | +111 / -108 | -143 | -114 | -35c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| NYM (away) | -123 | +100 | | | | | — |
|---|
| MIA (home) | +111 | -108 | BET -144 (+7.1pp) | BET MIA -144 | BET -138 (+6.2pp) | BET -143 (+7.1pp) | 4of4 +5.1pp |
|---|
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
7:15 PM ET
Washington Nationals (away)
Atlanta Braves (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +128 | — | -40c |
| ml_lgbm | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +114 | — | -54c |
| ml_xgb | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +145 | — | -23c |
| ml_catboost | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +123 | — | -45c |
| ml_logit_blended | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +104 | -105 | -64c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +128 | — | -40c |
| Flyer | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +119 | — | -48c |
| Side Model | WSH (away) | +182 / +168 | +122 | -105 | -46c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| WSH (away) | +182 | +168 | BET +128 (+6.6pp) | BET WSH +128 | BET +119 (+8.3pp) | BET +122 (+7.8pp) | 4of4 +5.7pp |
|---|
| ATL (home) | -204 | -185 | | | | | — |
|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
7:41 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers (away)
Milwaukee Brewers (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -134 | -103 | -26c |
| ml_lgbm | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -129 | -114 | -21c |
| ml_xgb | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -117 | +110 | -9c |
| ml_catboost | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -146 | +104 | -38c |
| ml_logit_blended | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -130 | -133 | -22c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -134 | — | -26c |
| Flyer | LAD (away) | -110 / +100 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -125 | — | -17c |
| Side Model | MIL (home) | +100 / -108 | -131 | -106 | -23c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| LAD (away) | -110 | +100 | | BET LAD +134 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
| MIL (home) | +100 | -108 | BET -134 (+5.5pp) | | BET -125 (+3.8pp) | BET -131 (+4.9pp) | 3of4 +4.8pp |
|---|
Athletics @ San Diego Padres
9:41 PM ET
Athletics (away)
San Diego Padres (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | +104 | +103 | -6c |
| ml_lgbm | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | -233 | -233 | -144c |
| ml_xgb | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | -118 | -110 | -28c |
| ml_catboost | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | -106 | -156 | -16c |
| ml_logit_blended | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | -114 | -105 | -24c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | +104 | — | -6c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | -145 | — | -55c |
| Side Model | OAK (away) | +116 / +111 | -125 | -131 | -35c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| OAK (away) | +116 | +111 | BET +104 (+1.6pp) | | BET -145 (+11.7pp) | BET -125 (+8.1pp) | 3of4 +7.1pp |
|---|
| SD (home) | -128 | -120 | | | | | — |
|---|
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
9:41 PM ET
Colorado Rockies (away)
Arizona Diamondbacks (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +127 | +103 | -63c |
| ml_lgbm | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +153 | +151 | -36c |
| ml_xgb | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +160 | -110 | -30c |
| ml_catboost | ARI (home) | -189 / -208 | -195 | +104 | +13c |
| ml_logit_blended | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +137 | +133 | -52c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +127 | — | -63c |
| Flyer | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +150 | — | -40c |
| Side Model | COL (away) | +167 / +190 | +152 | +112 | -37c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| COL (away) | +167 | +190 | BET +127 (+9.6pp) | BET COL +127 | BET +150 (+5.6pp) | BET +152 (+5.2pp) | 4of4 +5.1pp |
|---|
| ARI (home) | -189 | -208 | | | | | — |
|---|
Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals
7:41 PM ET
Seattle Mariners (away)
Kansas City Royals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | +107 | +150 | +6c |
| ml_lgbm | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | +109 | +105 | +9c |
| ml_xgb | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | -102 | +110 | -1c |
| ml_catboost | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | +107 | +156 | +6c |
| ml_logit_blended | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | +107 | +105 | +7c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | +107 | — | +6c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | KC (home) | +120 / +100 | +105 | — | +4c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| SEA (away) | -132 | -108 | | | | | — |
|---|
| KC (home) | +120 | +100 | | | | | — |
|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays
7:08 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates (away)
Toronto Blue Jays (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | +128 | +103 | -13c |
| ml_lgbm | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | -111 | -105 | -53c |
| ml_xgb | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | +131 | -110 | -11c |
| ml_catboost | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | -100 | -156 | -42c |
| ml_logit_blended | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | +140 | +133 | -2c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | +128 | — | -13c |
| Flyer | TOR (home) | -154 / -154 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | +118 | — | -23c |
| Side Model | PIT (away) | +139 / +142 | +116 | -105 | -26c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| PIT (away) | +139 | +142 | BET +128 (+2.5pp) | | BET +118 (+4.5pp) | BET +116 (+5.0pp) | 3of4 +4.0pp |
|---|
| TOR (home) | -154 | -154 | | BET TOR -128 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants
10:16 PM ET
Chicago White Sox (away)
San Francisco Giants (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | SF (home) | -101 / +100 | -133 | -103 | -33c |
| ml_lgbm | CWS (away) | -109 / -108 | -109 | -105 | -1c |
| ml_xgb | SF (home) | -101 / +100 | -105 | +110 | -5c |
| ml_catboost | SF (home) | -101 / +100 | +103 | +156 | +2c |
| ml_logit_blended | CWS (away) | -109 / -108 | -107 | -105 | +0c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | SF (home) | -101 / +100 | -133 | — | -33c |
| Flyer | SF (home) | -101 / +100 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | SF (home) | -101 / +100 | +104 | — | +3c |
| Side Model | CWS (away) | -109 / -108 | +103 | -113 | +10c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CWS (away) | -109 | -108 | | | | | — |
|---|
| SF (home) | -101 | +100 | BET -133 (+7.1pp) | BET SF -133 | | BET -103 (+0.8pp) | 3of4 +2.6pp |
|---|
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
7:16 PM ET
Detroit Tigers (away)
Baltimore Orioles (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | DET (away) | +115 / +114 | -104 | +103 | -17c |
| ml_lgbm | BAL (home) | -127 / -123 | -129 | +103 | -5c |
| ml_xgb | BAL (home) | -127 / -123 | -128 | +110 | -4c |
| ml_catboost | DET (away) | +115 / +114 | +108 | -156 | -5c |
| ml_logit_blended | DET (away) | +115 / +114 | -109 | -105 | -22c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | DET (away) | +115 / +114 | -104 | — | -17c |
| Flyer | BAL (home) | -127 / -123 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | BAL (home) | -127 / -123 | -115 | — | +8c |
| Side Model | DET (away) | +115 / +114 | +110 | -112 | -4c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| DET (away) | +115 | +114 | BET -104 (+4.2pp) | | | BET +110 (+1.0pp) | 2of4 +2.6pp |
|---|
| BAL (home) | -127 | -123 | | BET BAL +104 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
7:06 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays (away)
New York Yankees (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | TB (away) | +133 / +127 | +106 | -105 | -21c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | TB (away) | +133 / +127 | +106 | — | -21c |
| Side Model | TB (away) | +133 / +127 | +106 | -105 | -21c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TB (away) | +133 | +127 | | | BET +106 (+4.6pp) | BET +106 (+4.6pp) | 2of4 +4.6pp |
|---|
| NYY (home) | -147 | -139 | | | | | — |
|---|
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
7:11 PM ET
Minnesota Twins (away)
Boston Red Sox (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | MIN (away) | +135 / +134 | +107 | -105 | -26c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIN (away) | +135 / +134 | +107 | — | -26c |
| Side Model | MIN (away) | +135 / +134 | +107 | -105 | -26c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| MIN (away) | +135 | +134 | | | BET +107 (+5.5pp) | BET +107 (+5.5pp) | 2of4 +5.5pp |
|---|
| BOS (home) | -149 | -145 | | | | | — |
|---|
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
9:39 PM ET
Texas Rangers (away)
Los Angeles Angels (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | LAA (home) | +144 / +142 | +133 | +150 | -9c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | LAA (home) | +144 / +142 | +133 | — | -9c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TEX (away) | -161 | -154 | | | | | — |
|---|
| LAA (home) | +144 | +142 | | | BET +133 (+1.6pp) | BET +133 (+1.6pp) | 2of4 +1.6pp |
|---|
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
2:21 PM ET
Houston Astros (away)
Chicago Cubs (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | CHC (home) | -141 / -135 | -136 | -133 | +0c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CHC (home) | -141 / -135 | -136 | — | +0c |
| Side Model | HOU (away) | +128 / +125 | +136 | +103 | +10c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| HOU (away) | +128 | +125 | | | | | — |
|---|
| CHC (home) | -141 | -135 | | | BET -136 (+0.1pp) | BET -136 (+0.1pp) | 2of4 +0.1pp |
|---|