↻ Refresh in progress — pulling new lines & re-running predictions… this page updates automatically when it finishes.
Side-by-side comparison of where each surface lands today. Diagnostic only — no betting decisions made here.
Game cards · who picked what
One card per game (chronological by start time). Each card shows market Open / Current + ensemble Fair (raw) + Fair (calibrated) for both sides, which of the 4 surfaces (Alibi · Flyer · Today's Best · Side Model) picked each side, plus a per-model breakdown table inside the card (sidemodel format) showing each production ML model's pick, Open / Current, Fair (raw), Fair (calibrated), and Edge in cents vs the current market.
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
6:41 PM ET
Atlanta Braves (away)
Miami Marlins (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +122 | +150 | -41c |
| ml_lgbm | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +101 | +101 | -62c |
| ml_xgb | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +104 | -105 | -59c |
| ml_catboost | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +110 | +125 | -53c |
| ml_logit_blended | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +132 | +100 | -32c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +122 | — | -41c |
| Flyer | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +112 | — | -52c |
| Side Model | MIA (home) | +171 / +164 | +113 | +113 | -50c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| ATL (away) | -192 | -179 | | | | | — |
|---|
| MIA (home) | +171 | +164 | BET +122 (+7.1pp) | BET MIA +122 | BET +112 (+9.4pp) | BET +113 (+9.0pp) | 4of4 +6.4pp |
|---|
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
7:41 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers (away)
Chicago Cubs (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -132 | -106 | -20c |
| ml_lgbm | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -114 | -114 | -2c |
| ml_xgb | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -128 | -105 | -16c |
| ml_catboost | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -134 | -102 | -22c |
| ml_logit_blended | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -127 | -145 | -15c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -132 | — | -20c |
| Flyer | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -123 | — | -11c |
| Side Model | CHC (home) | -110 / -111 | -127 | -113 | -15c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| MIL (away) | +100 | +103 | | | | | — |
|---|
| CHC (home) | -110 | -111 | BET -132 (+4.3pp) | BET CHC -132 | BET -123 (+2.5pp) | BET -127 (+3.3pp) | 4of4 +2.5pp |
|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
8:41 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers (away)
San Diego Padres (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +112 | +140 | -59c |
| ml_lgbm | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +101 | +101 | -70c |
| ml_xgb | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | -108 | -105 | -79c |
| ml_catboost | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +114 | +125 | -58c |
| ml_logit_blended | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +118 | +100 | -53c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +112 | — | -59c |
| Flyer | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +104 | — | -68c |
| Side Model | SD (home) | +146 / +172 | +107 | +111 | -64c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| LAD (away) | -164 | -189 | | | | | — |
|---|
| SD (home) | +146 | +172 | BET +112 (+10.4pp) | BET SD +112 | BET +104 (+12.4pp) | BET +107 (+11.5pp) | 4of4 +8.6pp |
|---|
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
1:06 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds (away)
Philadelphia Phillies (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | +104 | +106 | -31c |
| ml_lgbm | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | +114 | +114 | -22c |
| ml_xgb | PHI (home) | -135 / -147 | -134 | -105 | +12c |
| ml_catboost | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | +108 | +100 | -27c |
| ml_logit_blended | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | -104 | +122 | -40c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | +104 | — | -31c |
| Flyer | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | +113 | — | -22c |
| Side Model | CIN (away) | +123 / +136 | +110 | +109 | -25c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CIN (away) | +123 | +136 | BET +104 (+6.6pp) | BET CIN +104 | BET +113 (+4.5pp) | BET +110 (+5.1pp) | 4of4 +4.1pp |
|---|
| PHI (home) | -135 | -147 | | | | | — |
|---|
Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners
4:11 PM ET
Chicago White Sox (away)
Seattle Mariners (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +105 | +106 | -21c |
| ml_lgbm | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | -109 | -101 | -36c |
| ml_xgb | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +108 | +105 | -19c |
| ml_catboost | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +102 | -125 | -25c |
| ml_logit_blended | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +131 | +145 | +4c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +105 | — | -21c |
| Flyer | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +109 | — | -17c |
| Side Model | CWS (away) | +131 / +127 | +107 | +105 | -20c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CWS (away) | +131 | +127 | BET +105 (+4.6pp) | BET CWS +105 | BET +109 (+3.8pp) | BET +107 (+4.3pp) | 4of4 +3.2pp |
|---|
| SEA (home) | -145 | -139 | | | | | — |
|---|
Texas Rangers @ Colorado Rockies
3:10 PM ET
Texas Rangers (away)
Colorado Rockies (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | +117 | +150 | +4c |
| ml_lgbm | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | -114 | -114 | -25c |
| ml_xgb | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | -107 | -105 | -19c |
| ml_catboost | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | +112 | +125 | +0c |
| ml_logit_blended | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | -106 | -122 | -18c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | -109 | — | -21c |
| Side Model | COL (home) | +116 / +112 | +100 | +105 | -11c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TEX (away) | -128 | -120 | | | | | — |
|---|
| COL (home) | +116 | +112 | | | BET -109 (+5.0pp) | BET +100 (+2.8pp) | 2of4 +3.9pp |
|---|
Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals
7:41 PM ET
Boston Red Sox (away)
Kansas City Royals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | BOS (away) | +103 / +108 | -112 | -140 | -19c |
| ml_lgbm | KC (home) | -114 / -118 | -114 | -114 | +3c |
| ml_xgb | KC (home) | -114 / -118 | -120 | -105 | -2c |
| ml_catboost | KC (home) | -114 / -118 | -119 | -102 | -1c |
| ml_logit_blended | BOS (away) | +103 / +108 | +107 | +122 | +0c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | BOS (away) | +103 / +108 | -112 | — | -19c |
| Flyer | BOS (away) | +103 / +108 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | BOS (away) | +103 / +108 | +114 | — | +5c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| BOS (away) | +103 | +108 | BET -112 (+4.7pp) | BET BOS -112 | | | 2of4 +2.4pp |
|---|
| KC (home) | -114 | -118 | | | | | — |
|---|
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
7:06 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays (away)
New York Yankees (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | TOR (away) | +140 / +150 | +125 | +106 | -24c |
| ml_lgbm | NYY (home) | -154 / -164 | -153 | -153 | +10c |
| ml_xgb | TOR (away) | +140 / +150 | +142 | +105 | -8c |
| ml_catboost | NYY (home) | -154 / -164 | -214 | -102 | -49c |
| ml_logit_blended | NYY (home) | -154 / -164 | -171 | -145 | -7c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | TOR (away) | +140 / +150 | +125 | — | -24c |
| Flyer | TOR (away) | +140 / +150 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | NYY (home) | -154 / -164 | -155 | — | +9c |
| Side Model | TOR (away) | +140 / +150 | +158 | +120 | +7c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TOR (away) | +140 | +150 | BET +125 (+4.4pp) | BET TOR +125 | | | 2of4 +2.2pp |
|---|
| NYY (home) | -154 | -164 | | | | | — |
|---|
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
1:11 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles (away)
Tampa Bay Rays (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | BAL (away) | +102 / +106 | +104 | +106 | -2c |
| ml_lgbm | TB (home) | -112 / -115 | -127 | -114 | -12c |
| ml_xgb | TB (home) | -112 / -115 | -140 | -105 | -24c |
| ml_catboost | TB (home) | -112 / -115 | -144 | -102 | -29c |
| ml_logit_blended | BAL (away) | +102 / +106 | -100 | +122 | -6c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | TB (home) | -112 / -115 | -121 | — | -5c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| BAL (away) | +102 | +106 | BET +104 (+0.5pp) | | | | 1of4 +0.5pp |
|---|
| TB (home) | -112 | -115 | | | BET -121 (+1.3pp) | BET -121 (+1.4pp) | 2of4 +1.3pp |
|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
7:46 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates (away)
St. Louis Cardinals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | +100 | +106 | -1c |
| ml_lgbm | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | -101 | -101 | -3c |
| ml_xgb | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | +108 | +105 | +5c |
| ml_catboost | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | +105 | -103 | +3c |
| ml_logit_blended | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | +107 | +122 | +4c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | +100 | — | -1c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | PIT (away) | +105 / +102 | +104 | — | +2c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| PIT (away) | +105 | +102 | BET +100 (+0.4pp) | | | | 1of4 +0.4pp |
|---|
| STL (home) | -115 | -110 | | | | | — |
|---|
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
9:39 PM ET
Athletics (away)
Los Angeles Angels (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | LAA (home) | +107 / +115 | +107 | +125 | -7c |
| ml_lgbm | OAK (away) | -118 / -123 | -114 | -109 | +9c |
| ml_xgb | LAA (home) | +107 / +115 | -102 | -105 | -16c |
| ml_catboost | OAK (away) | -118 / -123 | -120 | -125 | +3c |
| ml_logit_blended | LAA (home) | +107 / +115 | +106 | -122 | -8c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | LAA (home) | +107 / +115 | +106 | — | -9c |
| Side Model | LAA (home) | +107 / +115 | +109 | +106 | -6c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| OAK (away) | -118 | -123 | | | | | — |
|---|
| LAA (home) | +107 | +115 | BET +107 (+1.7pp) | | BET +106 (+2.1pp) | BET +109 (+1.4pp) | 3of4 +1.7pp |
|---|
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
6:41 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians (away)
Detroit Tigers (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | DET (home) | +107 / +105 | +100 | -122 | -4c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | DET (home) | +107 / +105 | +100 | — | -4c |
| Side Model | DET (home) | +107 / +105 | +100 | -122 | -4c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CLE (away) | -116 | -114 | | | | | — |
|---|
| DET (home) | +107 | +105 | | | BET +100 (+1.2pp) | BET +100 (+1.2pp) | 2of4 +1.2pp |
|---|
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
6:46 PM ET
New York Mets (away)
Washington Nationals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | WSH (home) | +108 / +110 | -115 | -122 | -24c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | WSH (home) | +108 / +110 | -115 | — | -24c |
| Side Model | WSH (home) | +108 / +110 | -115 | -122 | -24c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| NYM (away) | -119 | -119 | | | | | — |
|---|
| WSH (home) | +108 | +110 | | | BET -115 (+5.8pp) | BET -115 (+5.8pp) | 2of4 +5.8pp |
|---|
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins
1:41 PM ET
Houston Astros (away)
Minnesota Twins (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | HOU (away) | +130 / +128 | +131 | +106 | +2c |
| ml_lgbm | MIN (home) | -145 / -139 | -153 | -153 | -14c |
| ml_xgb | MIN (home) | -145 / -139 | -137 | -105 | +1c |
| ml_catboost | MIN (home) | -145 / -139 | -142 | -102 | -3c |
| ml_logit_blended | HOU (away) | +130 / +128 | +133 | +145 | +5c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIN (home) | -145 / -139 | -141 | — | -2c |
| Side Model | HOU (away) | +130 / +128 | +139 | +120 | +11c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| HOU (away) | +130 | +128 | | | | | — |
|---|
| MIN (home) | -145 | -139 | | | BET -141 (+0.4pp) | BET -139 (+0.0pp) | 2of4 +0.2pp |
|---|
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
3:41 PM ET
San Francisco Giants (away)
Arizona Diamondbacks (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | ARI (home) | -125 / -127 | -123 | -106 | +3c |
| ml_lgbm | SF (away) | +113 / +118 | +114 | +114 | -4c |
| ml_xgb | ARI (home) | -125 / -127 | -131 | -105 | -4c |
| ml_catboost | SF (away) | +113 / +118 | -100 | -125 | -18c |
| ml_logit_blended | ARI (home) | -125 / -127 | -123 | -122 | +3c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | ARI (home) | -125 / -127 | -122 | — | +4c |
| Side Model | SF (away) | +113 / +118 | +117 | +104 | +0c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| SF (away) | +113 | +118 | | | | BET +117 (+0.1pp) | 1of4 +0.1pp |
|---|
| ARI (home) | -125 | -127 | | | | | — |
|---|