↻ Refresh in progress — pulling new lines & re-running predictions… this page updates automatically when it finishes.
Side-by-side comparison of where each surface lands today. Diagnostic only — no betting decisions made here.
Game cards · who picked what
One card per game (chronological by start time). Each card shows market Open / Current + ensemble Fair (raw) + Fair (calibrated) for both sides, which of the 4 surfaces (Alibi · Flyer · Today's Best · Side Model) picked each side, plus a per-model breakdown table inside the card (sidemodel format) showing each production ML model's pick, Open / Current, Fair (raw), Fair (calibrated), and Edge in cents vs the current market.
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
6:41 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians (away)
Detroit Tigers (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | -110 | -108 | -51c |
| ml_lgbm | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | +104 | +101 | -37c |
| ml_xgb | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | -125 | -113 | -67c |
| ml_catboost | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | +109 | +100 | -32c |
| ml_logit_blended | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | +108 | -136 | -33c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | -110 | — | -51c |
| Flyer | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | -104 | — | -45c |
| Side Model | DET (home) | +110 / +142 | -102 | -110 | -44c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CLE (away) | -120 | -154 | | | | | — |
|---|
| DET (home) | +110 | +142 | BET -110 (+11.0pp) | BET DET -110 | BET -104 (+9.5pp) | BET -102 (+9.2pp) | 4of4 +7.4pp |
|---|
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
7:06 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays (away)
New York Yankees (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +102 | +108 | -15c |
| ml_lgbm | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | -104 | -101 | -22c |
| ml_xgb | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +122 | +113 | +4c |
| ml_catboost | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +115 | +105 | -2c |
| ml_logit_blended | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +118 | +136 | +0c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +102 | — | -15c |
| Flyer | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +112 | — | -6c |
| Side Model | TOR (away) | +123 / +118 | +110 | +111 | -7c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TOR (away) | +123 | +118 | BET +102 (+3.5pp) | BET TOR +102 | BET +112 (+1.4pp) | BET +110 (+1.7pp) | 4of4 +1.6pp |
|---|
| NYY (home) | -135 | -128 | | | | | — |
|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
9:41 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers (away)
San Diego Padres (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +100 | -108 | -45c |
| ml_lgbm | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +104 | +101 | -41c |
| ml_xgb | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | -101 | -113 | -46c |
| ml_catboost | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +115 | +100 | -30c |
| ml_logit_blended | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +115 | -112 | -30c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +100 | — | -45c |
| Flyer | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +106 | — | -40c |
| Side Model | SD (home) | +134 / +146 | +107 | -106 | -39c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| LAD (away) | -147 | -159 | | | | | — |
|---|
| SD (home) | +134 | +146 | BET +100 (+9.2pp) | BET SD +100 | BET +106 (+7.9pp) | BET +107 (+7.7pp) | 4of4 +6.2pp |
|---|
Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals
7:40 PM ET
Boston Red Sox (away)
Kansas City Royals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | +105 | -108 | -7c |
| ml_lgbm | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | -167 | -154 | -79c |
| ml_xgb | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | -118 | -113 | -30c |
| ml_catboost | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | -124 | -105 | -37c |
| ml_logit_blended | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | -101 | -136 | -14c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | +105 | — | -7c |
| Flyer | BOS (away) | -122 / -123 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | -125 | — | -38c |
| Side Model | KC (home) | +113 / +113 | -118 | -122 | -31c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| BOS (away) | -122 | -123 | | BET BOS -105 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
| KC (home) | +113 | +113 | BET +105 (+1.8pp) | | BET -125 (+8.7pp) | BET -118 (+7.3pp) | 3of4 +5.9pp |
|---|
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
7:41 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers (away)
Chicago Cubs (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -109 | -108 | -10c |
| ml_lgbm | MIL (away) | -109 / -110 | -119 | -110 | -8c |
| ml_xgb | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -111 | -113 | -12c |
| ml_catboost | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -113 | -105 | -14c |
| ml_logit_blended | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -127 | -156 | -28c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -109 | — | -10c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -106 | — | -7c |
| Side Model | CHC (home) | -101 / +101 | -108 | -112 | -9c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| MIL (away) | -109 | -110 | | | | | — |
|---|
| CHC (home) | -101 | +101 | BET -109 (+2.4pp) | | BET -106 (+1.7pp) | BET -108 (+2.2pp) | 3of4 +2.1pp |
|---|
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
9:39 PM ET
Athletics (away)
Los Angeles Angels (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +113 | +108 | -12c |
| ml_lgbm | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | -104 | -101 | -29c |
| ml_xgb | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +114 | +113 | -11c |
| ml_catboost | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +108 | +105 | -16c |
| ml_logit_blended | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +103 | +136 | -21c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +113 | — | -12c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +104 | — | -20c |
| Side Model | OAK (away) | +113 / +125 | +107 | +111 | -18c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| OAK (away) | +113 | +125 | BET +113 (+2.6pp) | | BET +104 (+4.5pp) | BET +107 (+3.9pp) | 3of4 +3.7pp |
|---|
| LAA (home) | -125 | -135 | | | | | — |
|---|
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
6:41 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds (away)
Philadelphia Phillies (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | CIN (away) | +119 / +121 | +112 | +108 | -9c |
| ml_lgbm | CIN (away) | +119 / +121 | -104 | -101 | -25c |
| ml_xgb | PHI (home) | -132 / -132 | -137 | -113 | -5c |
| ml_catboost | CIN (away) | +119 / +121 | -120 | +100 | -41c |
| ml_logit_blended | CIN (away) | +119 / +121 | -113 | +136 | -33c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | CIN (away) | +119 / +121 | +112 | — | -9c |
| Flyer | PHI (home) | -132 / -132 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | PHI (home) | -132 / -132 | -105 | — | +26c |
| Side Model | CIN (away) | +119 / +121 | +102 | +110 | -19c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CIN (away) | +119 | +121 | BET +112 (+2.0pp) | | BET +105 (+3.5pp) | BET +102 (+4.4pp) | 3of4 +3.3pp |
|---|
| PHI (home) | -132 | -132 | | BET PHI -112 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
7:46 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates (away)
St. Louis Cardinals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | STL (home) | -104 / -110 | -109 | -108 | +0c |
| ml_lgbm | PIT (away) | -106 / +102 | -104 | -101 | -6c |
| ml_xgb | STL (home) | -104 / -110 | -105 | -113 | +5c |
| ml_catboost | STL (home) | -104 / -110 | -108 | -105 | +1c |
| ml_logit_blended | STL (home) | -104 / -110 | +100 | -136 | +9c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | STL (home) | -104 / -110 | -109 | — | +0c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | PIT (away) | -106 / +102 | +100 | — | -1c |
| Side Model | STL (home) | -104 / -110 | -103 | -111 | +6c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| PIT (away) | -106 | +102 | | | BET +100 (+0.5pp) | | 1of4 +0.5pp |
|---|
| STL (home) | -104 | -110 | | | | | — |
|---|
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
6:41 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles (away)
Tampa Bay Rays (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | TB (home) | -114 / -106 | -119 | -108 | -12c |
| ml_lgbm | BAL (away) | +102 / -102 | -138 | -118 | -35c |
| ml_xgb | BAL (away) | +102 / -102 | -105 | +113 | -3c |
| ml_catboost | TB (home) | -114 / -106 | -111 | -105 | -4c |
| ml_logit_blended | TB (home) | -114 / -106 | -125 | -156 | -18c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | TB (home) | -114 / -106 | -119 | — | -12c |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | TB (home) | -114 / -106 | +105 | — | +11c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| BAL (away) | +102 | -102 | | | BET -105 (+0.7pp) | | 1of4 +0.7pp |
|---|
| TB (home) | -114 | -106 | BET -119 (+2.9pp) | | | | 1of4 +2.9pp |
|---|
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins
7:41 PM ET
Houston Astros (away)
Minnesota Twins (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | HOU (away) | +123 / +124 | +122 | +108 | -2c |
| ml_lgbm | HOU (away) | +123 / +124 | +112 | -101 | -12c |
| ml_xgb | HOU (away) | +123 / +124 | +123 | +113 | +0c |
| ml_catboost | MIN (home) | -135 / -133 | -166 | -105 | -32c |
| ml_logit_blended | MIN (home) | -135 / -133 | -141 | -156 | -7c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | HOU (away) | +123 / +124 | +122 | — | -2c |
| Flyer | MIN (home) | -135 / -133 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIN (home) | -135 / -133 | -125 | — | +8c |
| Side Model | HOU (away) | +123 / +124 | +131 | +114 | +7c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| HOU (away) | +123 | +124 | BET +122 (+0.5pp) | | | | 1of4 +0.5pp |
|---|
| MIN (home) | -135 | -133 | | BET MIN -122 | | | 1of4 +0.0pp |
|---|
Texas Rangers @ Colorado Rockies
8:41 PM ET
Texas Rangers (away)
Colorado Rockies (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | TEX (away) | -103 / -101 | -117 | -133 | -15c |
| ml_lgbm | TEX (away) | -103 / -101 | -104 | -101 | -3c |
| ml_xgb | COL (home) | -105 / -108 | -133 | -113 | -25c |
| ml_catboost | COL (home) | -105 / -108 | -106 | -105 | +1c |
| ml_logit_blended | COL (home) | -105 / -108 | -102 | -136 | +5c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | TEX (away) | -103 / -101 | -117 | — | -15c |
| Flyer | TEX (away) | -103 / -101 | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | COL (home) | -105 / -108 | -109 | — | -1c |
| Side Model | COL (home) | -105 / -108 | -103 | -104 | +4c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| TEX (away) | -103 | -101 | BET -117 (+3.6pp) | BET TEX -117 | | | 2of4 +1.8pp |
|---|
| COL (home) | -105 | -108 | | | BET -109 (+0.4pp) | | 1of4 +0.4pp |
|---|
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
4:11 PM ET
Atlanta Braves (away)
Miami Marlins (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | MIA (home) | +118 / +123 | -124 | -154 | -47c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | MIA (home) | +118 / +123 | -124 | — | -47c |
| Side Model | MIA (home) | +118 / +123 | -124 | -154 | -47c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| ATL (away) | -130 | -133 | | | | | — |
|---|
| MIA (home) | +118 | +123 | | | BET -124 (+10.5pp) | BET -124 (+10.5pp) | 2of4 +10.5pp |
|---|
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
6:46 PM ET
New York Mets (away)
Washington Nationals (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | WSH (home) | +136 / +125 | -104 | -136 | -29c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | WSH (home) | +136 / +125 | -104 | — | -29c |
| Side Model | WSH (home) | +136 / +125 | -104 | -136 | -29c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| NYM (away) | -149 | -135 | | | | | — |
|---|
| WSH (home) | +136 | +125 | | | BET -104 (+6.6pp) | BET -104 (+6.6pp) | 2of4 +6.6pp |
|---|
Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners
9:41 PM ET
Chicago White Sox (away)
Seattle Mariners (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_lgbm | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_xgb | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_catboost | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| ml_logit_blended | CWS (away) | +131 / +129 | +123 | +146 | -5c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | CWS (away) | +131 / +129 | +123 | — | -5c |
| Side Model | CWS (away) | +131 / +129 | +123 | +146 | -5c |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| CWS (away) | +131 | +129 | | | BET +123 (+1.1pp) | BET +123 (+1.1pp) | 2of4 +1.1pp |
|---|
| SEA (home) | -145 | -141 | | | | | — |
|---|
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
9:41 PM ET
San Francisco Giants (away)
Arizona Diamondbacks (home)
| Model / Source | Pick | Open / Current | Fair (raw) | Fair (calibrated) | Edge |
|---|
| ml_logit_baseline * | ARI (home) | -115 / -120 | -114 | -108 | +6c |
| ml_lgbm | ARI (home) | -115 / -120 | -175 | -154 | -54c |
| ml_xgb | SF (away) | +104 / +112 | -108 | +113 | -20c |
| ml_catboost | ARI (home) | -115 / -120 | -116 | -105 | +4c |
| ml_logit_blended | SF (away) | +104 / +112 | -117 | +100 | -29c |
| ml_logit_all_l30d | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Alibi | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Flyer | — | — / — | — | — | — |
| Today's Picks | ARI (home) | -115 / -120 | -111 | — | +9c |
| Side Model | — | — / — | — | — | — |
4 sources only| Side | Open | Current | Alibi | Flyer | Today's Picks | Side Model | Cons |
|---|
| SF (away) | +104 | +112 | | | BET +111 (+0.3pp) | | 1of4 +0.3pp |
|---|
| ARI (home) | -115 | -120 | | | | | — |
|---|